An apology as my contribution has been a little non-existent at the moment as I've been extremely busy. Nevertheless I've still been following the markets as always.
Current trend is still: UP
This is true, as from my research as far as the weekly chart of the Dow is concerned. However make no mistake that this Upward trend line is very very slowing moving and in terms of progress we have managed around 600+ points from the lows of 10,100-00 since April....
Now today's session was a little nervy and we saw the majors gaining slightly.
Is this still a shorting opportunity? 100% yes.
As far as the 'long term trend' is concerned these levels are still great to short with the market still having chances of moving higher towards 10700. The up move looks over but it is by no means dead.......
10400 is a crucial crucial area. If yesterday’s action was solid bear stuff then we would have seen at least a touch towards 10400 today as we were only 35points away. No touch and 10400 remains in tact to provide support as far as this week is concerned. A weekly close below this level, if and when it comes will be extremely significant and we could see a furious down move, which could well be far worse then 10900-10000.
Daily Candles - Intraday heavy resistance: 10700
Weekly Candles - Intraweek heavy resistance: 10650
Intraday/Intraweek support: 10400
A critical juncture as far as 10400 is concerned. However this weeks intraweek support is not necessarily next weeks intraweek support as the upward trend line is of a rising nature and therefore the figure to watch for next week would be somewhat higher then 10400.
That’s the information gathered from my research. (A neutral perspective - I hope)
If you want an opinion then I would say we could well get one last bounce and stay above 10400-500-600 for a little while longer before the hurricane selling kicks in.....
If we move higher or simply range bound for the rest of this year then that’s no problem as I feel great about shorting at these levels as next year according to my analysis will be pretty bad........A bit like 2000.......whipsaw......range movement......indecisive.....and then.......bang......
Good Luck either way......
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Many Thanks
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