Re: Wallstreet1928 Analysis & live calls on FTSE,DAX,S&P...aimed to help New traders
Hold the front page, I actually have a couple of charts to post. I'm not some pesky irritant who wants to steal peanuts from the bird feeder. I am here to learn, contribute (and of course have fun). I am particularly interested in the Nasdaq and have drawn some lines. WS has seen some of my lines in the past and said that he thought I drew too many and clouded the picture. So, I have taken heed and tried to keep this simple.
Until Monday, I'm on a beat-up old laptap and am going to have to talk you through the charts, rather than write on the charts themselves.
Starting with the Monthly chart and looking left to right, I have drawn two support lines that appear as a channel. I believe these are the historical support for the index and am taking that as where the market -wants- to be at minimum. The 45 degree line all on its own is showing me an area of support for that recovery. Ignore the smaller channel for now as that comes into play on the Daily chart.
Now with the Daily chart, I am pleased to see that my three support lines drawn on the Monthly chart are still valid (I think). Now moving on to the parallel channel I have drawn, which again shows at about 45 degrees. I believe the top line is resistance to the recovery, but I struggle with the bottom line. I have simply put this at a best-fit position, but am not happy with it. I can see no clear support anywhere between the current price and that lonely line drawn on the Monthly chart.
I think where we are now is quite exciting. Is the 2325 area going to prove support and move us back to where the index wants to be, or are we going to fall back down again to........? If price followed my lines and didn't deviate, we could be back up to confirmed support within my channel drawn on the Monthly chart by end of the year, possibly next year. But I'm sure that's not how things work...
All of my assumptions are based on looking at the charts. I am only a squirrel and have a small brain. I've not taking any price patterns or fundamentals into consideration. Perhaps someone can give their input on these?
Also, have I even got these lines right? Do you think I am right in my beliefs, or am I just making these lines fit?
Many thanks,
Squirrel