July 30th ten minute chart analysis
Hi Mike,
I congratulate you on your success so far, applaud your ambition, but question the wisdom of announcing your goals to the likes of us lot on T2W! Perhaps I'm just conforming to type and being a negative 'glass half full' Brit'? Quite possibly. ;-)
Anyway, I for one will be very impressed if you achieve just 25% of your target. Good luck!
Tim.
Yes Tim, there continue to be SOME big differences between Brits and Yanks.
I suggest you open up a ten minute chart on Friday's trading and plot these reversal points on the Dow Futures.
[1] DOW AM LOW 9072 (8:30 am announcement, Globex session)
[2] AM HIGH 9173
[3] AM SELL OFF 9116
[4] PM EARLY TOP 9160
[5] PM EARLY SELL OFF 9124
[6] PM FINAL HIGH 9177
[7] SELLOFF TO CLOSE 9095
Attached is a spreadsheet with the 7 points and the 6 trades between those 7 points. Assuming a
DayRaider Upgrade user was able to enter successfully HALF of those trades and subtracting 5% for slippage/commission (no one can expect to get in at the highest high or the lowest low)...if the trader entered 3 contracts at each trade entry point, the net profit is over $2,600. You can lower the trader's efficiency to 33% and still be at $1,000. Since Mike is trading while at the office working for THE MAN...a 33% efficiency is probably realistic.
July 30th was an average day, typically Mondays are monster trading days, with bigger ranges between each key reversal point in the morning and afternoon.
Also, considering that Mike catches the end of the Globex to Dow Cash trade and holds on, there is typically 150 points per contract in the first two major reversals most every morning.
(Mike can just trade the Dow Cash Open reversal and the reversal that follows that and he's done for the day. )
So Tim, if Mike just keeps executing as well or better than he has in his first week, he probably can hit his $1,000 profit objective by 10:30 or at the latest 11:30 am most every day.
This is all theoretical, after the cars crashed analysis; but the methodology can be backtested and, once learned, used realtime to grasp just how profitable daytrading the Mini Dow is.
Cheers!
The Mechanical Day Trader