I like dream catchers.. crikey, you mean they're a fake? Dammit, I knew that mystic voice whispering 'buy Tech stocks' back in 2000 was some elaborate scam - last time I buy a pillow from marconi I can tell you!
We agree, but it's easy to sound like it's a p*** take and Updata, when all is said and done, is a good program. Some of use aren't happy with support etc in the past, but I'm pretty sure most of us wouldn't mind having Jeremy Du P on hand now and then. I've been trying (and obviously failing) to distinguish between Updata the design, good idea, and pretty good execution and Updata the marketing company who I personally don't have a lot of time for. I think it's tragic to see this pairing - US companies dominate the software market, and quite honestly I rate Australian efforts above UK and US - they're turning out innovative stuff endlessly. I wrote my effort, then someone told me about Bulls Eye Broker, and I thought 'If I'd seen this a year ago I probably wouldn't have started coding' - now I think I've done rather better, but I freely acknowledge they got there first. I like to think that my program kicked BeB up the bottom a little, it seems to have improved since then - archer analysis for those who want to check out an alternative to Pfscan and Updata. (I think it's
www.archeranalysis.com - something similar at least). The guy running it is a nice bloke, tell him I said hello!
Stops - whatever your metohd for determining the exit, a 'golden rule' is to decide the exit before entry. Presumablya biorythm chart tells you to exit an apparently sound position sometimes, as it's a bad time for you to hold any trades?
70% - do me a favour! Old P&F studies from about 1960 are often quoted, conveniently minus date info, with that sort of reliability. At times during 1990-2000 the figure for some patterns hit 80% or so, based on rare trades, but enough to be statistically valid. My site (assuming I don't get hung for this,
www.pfscan.com) has a 'news n views' page with some backtest info on it - lust download the last newsletter listed there and it includes tests on the SP500, FT350 etc from 1990 or so on.
The bets I can get my 'automatic' system to manage is around 60%, and I'd hate to have to guarantee more than 50%.... mind you, with sub 40% for Bear signals you could trade bear signals long and manage 60% plus I guess!
Dave