I'm changing me prediction based on a number of factors and I do like to keep me data in trim. Same as when I'm trading.
I'm getting the vibe that the public aren't as interested in this election as I thought they would be. Perhaps everyone knows there's goin ta be no clear winner so why bother? Given the relative apathy evident on this site alone to participate even in this competition, I'm goin to decrease me turnout by a whopping 5%. Unless Labour do anything stupid I can't see much shift so that stays the same. Cameron needs some new PR as he's not grabbing as much media attention as he was so they're gong to lose 3 seats. As much as I'd like to see Lib-Dems having a bit of a say in the next coalition, I have ta face facts, nobody else seems to so they're going to get an 11 seat drop. UKIP, well I'll chip another one off just for fun.
So here's me latest:-
Conservatives - 279
Labour - 269
Lib-Dem - 28
UKIP - 3
SNP - 51
Turnout 63%