Week Ahead - Bullet point highlights: 15 to 19 August 2016
- A relatively busy week for statistics, above all from the UK (CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, Unemployment, PSNB) and USA (CPI, Industrial Production, Housing Starts, NAHB, NY & Philly Fed surveys; Japan features Q2 GDP and Trade; Australia and NZ Unemployment; Canada CPI and Retail Sales; China Property Prices.
- In policy terms, the Fed publishes the July FOMC minutes and there is a smattering of Fed speak; the ECB also publishes the 'account' of its July meeting; a 25 bps rate cut is expected in Indonesia, with policy seen on hold in Kazakhstan and Namibia.
- Miners feature heavily on the Corporate Earnings schedule, which is rather busier in Asia and Europe than the USA.
- Govt bond supply is very light, with the usual summer holiday lull in the Eurozone, while the UK taps its 2055 conventional Gilt, which should help alleviate the again likely low volume of offers at the long-dated (>15 year) BoE QE buy-in (Tuesday); the US sells 5-yr TIPS.
- Oil price gyrations, thin summer trading conditions, central bank financial repression and the desperate reach for yield and income will continue to provide the overarching themes, along with the US election hustings.
from Marc Ostwald