4xpipcounter
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I've attached a chart that shows a chart of the GBP/USD--daily.
A proepr trading methodology needs to be able to not only discern a trend, but also the nature of it.
If you tried to get in on that dip before the reversal, then you would have lost. Simply put, you need to not only be able to know when a dip in a trend occurs, but when it is a reversal, also when it is a correction to something bigger. "The trend is your friend" is a cliche and not necessarily the truth.
I don't trade oil, but I do have some fun with it. I apply my methodology to it, because the commodity price on oil is always relative to price at the gas pump. When oil was at 71.00, I told my wife it is time to fill up all the cars, lawn mowers, etc, because our prices are going to move up 25 cents per gallon, because oil is headed to 76.00 quick (confirmed in my thread). If someone was trading it, then it would help in undertanding the hard bounce it took, and the return to that level, and then the bounce again.
The sellers of these books and online classes are usually filled without worn out stereotypes, and their theories seemingly look good, because they are very good in using hindsight. How many of these authors and teachers do you know actually implement their trades live in the active process of their methodology they are trying to teach? That's what makes any methodology effective is watching the implementation of it, and the effective gains it puts in your bottom line. This is why a book will always demonstate how something willl work, but its practical application becomes a different story.
If you don't have enough money to trade the small losses, then either you should not be trading or you are doing something wrong. You could be over-trading as in putting too many lots on one trade. If your account is so small that it cannot withstand even the smallest positioning, then you are not ready to trade for simple lack of funds.
The amount you need to trade with successfully is not something quantative. It should be based on the percentage of margin risk. As an example, you could have $100, and trade 1 microlot. There would be plenty of room for margin of error. Yet, you could have $10,000 and trade 5 lots, and your whole account would be bankrupt after a 200-point move against you. Proeprly margining your trades is part of the completeness of the method you choose to trade with.
If you cannot get the prices and charts off your own platform, then they are not worth trading or considering to begin with. You have to have a wherewithal to make intelligent trading decisions. Just by looking at price history will not supply that for you.
A proepr trading methodology needs to be able to not only discern a trend, but also the nature of it.
If you tried to get in on that dip before the reversal, then you would have lost. Simply put, you need to not only be able to know when a dip in a trend occurs, but when it is a reversal, also when it is a correction to something bigger. "The trend is your friend" is a cliche and not necessarily the truth.
I don't trade oil, but I do have some fun with it. I apply my methodology to it, because the commodity price on oil is always relative to price at the gas pump. When oil was at 71.00, I told my wife it is time to fill up all the cars, lawn mowers, etc, because our prices are going to move up 25 cents per gallon, because oil is headed to 76.00 quick (confirmed in my thread). If someone was trading it, then it would help in undertanding the hard bounce it took, and the return to that level, and then the bounce again.
The sellers of these books and online classes are usually filled without worn out stereotypes, and their theories seemingly look good, because they are very good in using hindsight. How many of these authors and teachers do you know actually implement their trades live in the active process of their methodology they are trying to teach? That's what makes any methodology effective is watching the implementation of it, and the effective gains it puts in your bottom line. This is why a book will always demonstate how something willl work, but its practical application becomes a different story.
If you don't have enough money to trade the small losses, then either you should not be trading or you are doing something wrong. You could be over-trading as in putting too many lots on one trade. If your account is so small that it cannot withstand even the smallest positioning, then you are not ready to trade for simple lack of funds.
The amount you need to trade with successfully is not something quantative. It should be based on the percentage of margin risk. As an example, you could have $100, and trade 1 microlot. There would be plenty of room for margin of error. Yet, you could have $10,000 and trade 5 lots, and your whole account would be bankrupt after a 200-point move against you. Proeprly margining your trades is part of the completeness of the method you choose to trade with.
If you cannot get the prices and charts off your own platform, then they are not worth trading or considering to begin with. You have to have a wherewithal to make intelligent trading decisions. Just by looking at price history will not supply that for you.
Thanks for the prompt reply. I am sorry if I did not make sense. I was trying not to make my post too long but did so anyway.
Rather than trying to predict the bottom or top of a market so you can buy low and sell high - trend trading goes with the trend.
The book demonstrates that it does work. I will give you the example of Nymex oil. It's recent high has been around $83. Low - $75. So when it broke through $75 I went short like the theory states. As it moved down at the end of each day I moved my stop accordingly. My stop was 300 points away. It went as low as $70.24. My stop was moved to $74.00 the day before. Anyway, it started to go up and my stop was triggered. It then went as high as $76? and has come down again. So I could have had 450 points profit but only got 100 points. The point is that you have to take small profit/losses and wait to catch the big trends. The problem with this at this time for me is that I do not have enough money to take the 'small' losses. Incidentally, how much do you think one should put in to trade successfully?
I really believe that it will work but need to get historical prices for the commodities. I can get the indices and Forex from yahoo. Any ideas? This is so that I can work out my stops.
I hope this makes sense? Any advise welcome.
Thanks again.