Hi Guys, thanks for your kind words.
Neil - my feet will spend less time on the ground when I eventually get that Discus 2 high performance glider!
Helen - Having read your posts, you are immeasurably further up the learning curve than I was after only 3 years. It sounds as though you started just as the bull ran out of steam, and it is a real achievement to have survived the early learning phase in this environment - I am not sure that I would have.
FTSE Beater - the same applies to your own record.
Selling 90% of tech stocks seemed like the obvious course of action. All the main ma's had turned down, many tech stocks had already been falling in value for 3 to 4 weeks, and everytime there was good news, they responded by falling further - a classic topping signal. The tech mantra was that earnings didn't matter - new economy etc - it was all different this time. It is NEVER different this time! P/E ratio's in excess of 200 were a complete joke. Then there was the explosion of new tech funds on offer - you couldn't open a newspaper without seeing an ad for yet another tech fund launch. And there were loads of programmes on TV about investment clubs making fortunes - all good contrary indicators.
Finally, when I looked to see where the money ploughing into tech was coming from, there were loads of bombed out companies in the ftse 100 where the prices had halved, and yet they were continuing to grow old fashioned things like profits. I ran a routine through CD REFS to list all ftse 100 companies that had a dividend yield in excess of 5.65% (the yield on long dated gilts at that time), and to be safe I wanted them covered at least 1.5 times, and with no record of dividend cuts or even failing to increase the divi each year. I was amazed to find that banks, tobacco and breweries were running divis in excess of 6% (BAT was paying 9%) and that their share prices had halved in many cases over the previous 18 months. Seemed like bargains, and an investment with a high and rising dividend seemed like good value and it was only a matter of time before other people thought so as well and drove up the price. The 3 phone calls I mentioned in the Q&A was just the final catalyst for action.
For those who are not aware of it, the Rothschild reference (from memory) refers to a story about Lord Rothschild walking down the street in New York and stopping for a shoeshine. The shoeshine boy told him to buy GE 'cos it was going up. He was so shaken to get a share tip from a shoeshine boy that he walked straight to his broker and liquidated his entire investment portfolio, just 6 weeks before the 1929 crash. The 3 phone calls regarding lastminute.com was my "shoeshine boy" moment, although I hasten to add that I am no Rothschild!
Now of course you cannot turn on the TV without seeing yet another programme about house makeovers, amateurs doing a speculative renovation using a 107% mortgage and only £1000 of their own money (last week), and I recently received a brochure from an insurance company offering an investment fund with returns linked to the Halifax House Price Index. Deja Vue? Of course it's all different this time because blah blah blah!