The FTSE Tuesday, 8th November 2005
Mondays results:
Open: 5423.
Close: 5460, up 37pts. This far exceeded my expectations. Annoyingly, I thought I'd shuffle my stop gap as the day progressed and therefore my Long cancelled at 5458! I was hoping to roll it over and on throughout the week. Also, and thankfully, I didn't go with my gut feelings.
Range: 5415 - 5471.
On the Month: up 143pts.
Last 5 trading days: up 143pts. Somethings got to give.
Dow: 10,586, up 55pts.
News items of note:
Forbes.com -'In London, December Brent crude futures on the ICE Futures exchange fell 80 cents to $58.45 a barrel. Oil broker Mike Fitzpatrick of Fimat USA in New York said the mild start to the U.S. winter heating season has magnified a selloff that was already in motion as oil production and refining facilities in the Gulf of Mexico recovered in the aftermath of hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Fitzpatrick said crude futures could fall another $2 to $3 per barrel if the weather stays warm, but once Americans begin to turn up their thermostats, there will again be upward pressure on energy prices.' - And the same in the UK. The price of oil dropping on Monday will continue to have a minor negative effect on the FTSE tomorrow.
FT.com - 'Ministers said higher oil costs were not yet feeding through into increased prices in the shops or wage rises, and inflation remained under control. They are concerned at the heightened anti-inflation rhetoric from the ECB, with Mr Trichet warning again on Monday that interest rates could move at any time. Financial markets believe an interest rate rise is possible next month and is highly likely by next March, as the ECB seeks to bring inflation below its 2 per cent target.'
Charts, and nothing but the charts: Mondays stated a small rise. Tuesday, another small rise.
Companies reporting:
Assoc British Foods
BG
Cable & Wireless
Electrocomponents
Marks & Spencer
Celsis
Comino
Dicom
Enough to turn the FTSE's head.
The FTSE tomorrow based on present news and data: the market is expected to open up by 8pts tomorrow morning; the DOW's had a good day; plenty of companies reporting; economic data is quiet; in all, we should see the FTSE rise early. Thereafter, I'm not too sure. The market has already exceeded Novembers dull laconic manner and presented us with another exciting July. Can it last? Even so, I'm still confident of a strong weekly finish by the weeks end.
Early gut feeling: a small shuffle in either direction by the end of play
.
Will I bet? Well, my long cancelled today so I'll be sitting on the side line. I'll make my decision around 10am.
If you are betting: make your own decision, watch the markets open and do read the news for clues as to which way the FTSE may go.
yours
UK