Aloha mate i would appreciate your help in understanding all some of these fundamentals.. 🙂
I like to take quite a robust macho sorta view about news, either its bad or good...
And so i thought since the infaltion target was meant to be 2%, but it was gna be about 3.3%, that it would be bad news therefore bad for ftse... 😕
Where did i go wrong on that though please??
Cos that is the 1 trade that cost me alot!! 😈🙁
i agree with you, logically bad news should put markets down and good news give them a boost. however here is the deal. what inflation figure did the markets price in? when markets discard news like that it really points to some bullish sentiments out there and some health in the markets.
watch for these, especially if you trend fundamentals.
What is the relationship between equities and interest rates Spanish? Take small steps and you will get there. Ultimately Gooseman could just type it all for you but you wouldn't really truly learn anything that way.......
as for interest rates and equities link, its a rather open question. i personally like to think that the link isnt as close as everyone seems to argue. in any case, the basic is this, interest rates rise to control inflation. interest rates are used to cut down spending, and is a two-edged sword, because it also increases the credit default if its risen, and unleashes spending if its cut. in the US the problem is that a cut in intrest rates caused the commercial sector to dominate the spending while people didnt invest more as they hoped they would. all of these caused inflation to move up and now the dilemma is there in the market with futures pointing that the rate will move up 100 basis points back to 3%. I'll leave my rambling on the fed to a later date. i read bernanke's books in uni, which i think in its own right explains why he should not be chairman.
the inflation figure generally signals that there will be a rate hike coming up, and most of the time it means that investors start pulling back on the investment commitments and start putting money back into their homeloans. this is the thing. the selling in itself is so gradual that it really wont impact the markets. the problem is that news of a rate hike usually drive the selling, not the hike itself. anyway i could spend valuable hours arguing this and it really wont change anything.
read about what inflation does to the economy and why. generally the ftse takes into consideration the top companies in the UK and the company share prices are intended to act as a guide to future earnings.
as for yesterday's event, overall if i am not mistaken the market fell, and the ftse is falling today. as i said before, im rather bearish short term, for technical reasons. i think the markets are as low as they will be for a long time and the downside is rather limited. i would like to see ftse testing the 6000-50 resistance marks, however the downside is that it can fall right back to the 5450 levels. you have to remember that crude is at all time highs and until it starts retreating the stocks will be in a rather narrow range. watch crude tumble to under 100 soon though...
end of rant... lol