I'm getting to terms with this beast now. ES an NQ futures charts have made a big difference to my performance. ( Thanks Skim) They give 90%+ advance warning of when SB's are going to flip their bias. I can regularly get in a position and literally a few seconds later I'm in the money because the bias has moved. OK so i'm still getting a lot of small points ( 1-10), but the last two days saw win/loss trades of 21-4 and 15-3. More importantly (mostly) I have been able to cut losing positions just as quickly with 1-5 point losses being relatively easy to achieve. E.G. If the bias is to the short side and you look to go long and get in before the bias, just a few seconds, or a minute will tell me if the move is going to happen. I don't know how big the move is at this stage, just that it's going to be a win. If it doesn't go , I can see the SB sell price move down a couple of points ( no more bias switch as it was already negative) and confirmed by ES futs. starting to produce a black candle as well- so hit the sell button.
Next tip.
Getting the winners rolling. I've been adding at various times, based on the overall TA situation. Typically on a pullback in a 5 leg elliott up move. In the first part of a move that I am confident in , I look for a place to "add". This is done by watching the bias to cash difference. No point in adding if the bias is at +15 from the cash. Often in the move up, futs will glitch and the bias drops to +6 or so. Time to add. So now by the time I get to a pull back ( or even a top) I have maybe 2 or 3 x my normal stake. At the top, I sell 1 position and try to guage if this is a top or a pullback ( often helped by previous TA i.e. a Bull Triangle breakout target). If we're way off target , I add back in at what I think is the bottom of the pullback and try and catch the bias in my favour again. Same again on the third leg. At the top, I have the option to sell 1,2 or 3 depending on how I feel. If it's clearly a top, then I sell all 3 within a few ticks. If it looks like there's more, then I leave 1 long, having locked in 90% of the profits.
The downside to all this for me, so far, has been getting myself caught in whipsaws and "reversing " positions. Each reverse can be a hit of 20 or more points. Using this "adding" approach has helped me stay in winning positions longer, whereas before, I'd sell on a pullback top and then be reluctant to get back in on what was the pullback bottom. I think it is psycologically easier to stay in from a position of strength ( having added) than closing a position, only to open again a few ticks later , missing 20 or so points.
Before doing this, do the sums for yourself and see how it pans out. It may be that you will need to adjust your stake size to 1/2 or 1/3 normal size to be comfortable doing this.
I'm still struggling with the mental block of shorting when I should. Reversing the whole position on a pullback, for example, I find almost impossible to do.....Perhaps that shows I have more fear than greed.....Still that's the way I am, and I'm cranking up the profits so I'm not about to change tactics.