S&P 500 weekly competition for 2012

Results for last week:
 

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My lying indicators are saying 1403 this week. Looks like down to me but

:cool:
 
1300 its gonna bathsalt this week, last week we got the ecb ramp up, just been denied by schauble
 
Euro up, but rally fades late

* German, French leaders voice strong support for euro zone

* Oil futures, metals prices also rise

* Italian, Spanish bond yields fall

By Rodrigo Campos

NEW YORK (Frankfurt: A0DKRK - news) , July 27 (Reuters) - Stocks rallied on Friday on expectations the European Central Bank will tackle high borrowing costs hitting Spain and Italy, but the euro pared gains on market uncertainty about the specific action to be taken.

The benchmark S&P 500 (SNP: ^GSPC - news) closed at its highest since early May, climbing further after Bloomberg News said ECB President Mario Draghi will meet with Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann to discuss several measures, including bond purchases, to help the euro zone.

The French and German governments said they are "determined to do everything to protect the euro zone" and its single currency. The joint statement echoed similar remarks by Draghi on Thursday, but in comments on Friday, Germany's Bundesbank pushed back against Draghi's pledge.

Adding to hopes for decisive action, U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner will meet separately with his German counterpart and Draghi on Monday, the Treasury Department said.

The heightened expectations about ECB intervention soon helped to push Spanish and Italian bond yields lower.

"Fundamentally, there is a lot of uncertainty, and still a lot of unanswered questions as to how exactly the ECB plans to bring down sovereign borrowing costs," said Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign Exchange in Washington.

"To some extent, the rally in the euro and more broadly equities and risk assets had gotten a little bit ahead of itself."

Expectations that the Federal Reserve will act to support the U.S. economy also grew after data showed U.S. gross domestic product expanded at a 1.5 percent annual rate from April through June, roughly in line with lowered expectations.

Market expectations are high for another round of asset purchases from the Fed, which in the past have sparked rallies in stocks and commodities. Markets are also beginning to price in a move from the ECB, possibly in the form of bond purchases. Both central banks hold separate meetings next week.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 187.73 points, or 1.46 percent, to 13,075.66. The S&P 500 Index gained 25.95 points, or 1.91 percent, to 1,385.97. The Nasdaq Composite added 64.84 points, or 2.24 percent, to 2,958.09.

The FTSEurofirst 300 advanced 1.3 percent to close at 1,056.51. An MSCI index of global equities added 1.8 percent to end at 1,250.02.

Copper prices jumped 1.3 percent while Brent and U.S. oil prices rose for a fourth day running, although they were both still lower for the week after plummeting on Monday.

The euro pared most of its gains after hitting a three-week high versus the U.S. dollar. It was last up 0.3 percent at $1.2318, after hitting a session high of $1.2389. On Tuesday, the single currency slid to a two-year low of $1.2040.

In his statement on Thursday, Draghi appeared to target the bond market, saying the monitoring of rising borrowing costs in bloc members was within the ECB's mandate.

Ten-year Spanish bond yields hit a low of 6.731 percent, the lowest since July 17, while the Italian benchmark bond yield dipped below 6 percent for the first time in a week.

As investors turned toward relatively riskier assets, safe-haven investments fell. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note slid 29/32, or nearly a full point in price, while the yield rose to 1.534 percent.
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The S&P 500 managed to close above the downtrend channel and breadth is improving too, although it's still on the sell side currently. So after such a big whipsaw move last week, I think a smaller consolation week ahead possibly with a higher close.

1394 for me please Robster

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Congrats to the winners!
I will take 1382 for next Friday.
This is my birthday week so I will need every one to adjust their numbers so I can win:cheesy:
Just kidding!
To tell the truth things are looking very interesting so far this quarter as far as the comp. goes.
Remember last year this time we had a large drop in the markets. Over 200 SPX points in a month or so.
The year before that July was the bottom of the move up that lasted until last July's top which was the last of one in a triple top before the market moved down.

I am temped to go short(shorter) this week but will wait for next week.
 
14 minutes early!!
Good job! lol (y)

Peter

Ok dude, before I go to bed and shoudnt be up so late, but I might not be on time tomorrow morning to post up my call, so Im more into Pats call therefore im taking 1402.5, good night America Continent good morning rest of the worls:sleep:
 
I'ma go with 1447 this week. Should'a stuck to my 1380 call, but wtv... Market made a hell of a comeback! Congrats to the winners again!
 
So I think NFP on Friday will determine the up vs down debate tbh.

I'm going with the up's this week - 1397
 
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