The price rises and falls. I wonder if the odds change nearer to the close ?
I wouldn't take the bet around 2.50 area - it's bang where the VPOC has formed. If I was going to have a punt though I'd probably go below 1302.50 because I *think* the +ve delta of 19k contracts will sell-off for the remainder of the session taking price below this VPOC.
I don't think it matters - the odds are less than evens for either side......
Where is DT today? I wonder if his Mrs is talking to him..............
Nothing much changes
Incidentally, has Wekim disappeared? I was interested in carrying on talking to him about his dilemma
still here, will get to respond to your last posts, busy being pissed at myself for getting scared and missing this uptrend today
That took a bit longer. In chronological order as the session played out.
Picture 2 - the opening 45 mins of RTH
Note the point where it got to 69, the profile is quite boxy, it doesn't indicate anything. There was no way at this point you were to know this would become an LVN.
Picture 3 - post 45 mins and your trade
What you could have done is held for a test of the new RTH-Low that was formed which is what it did before deciding to go north again.
Pretty much - boom, boom, boom - price after price. It does pullback but the waves are predominantly upwards.
You won't see this until you start looking for it. For that, you are going to need to switch off the charts for a few days. Tell yourself what you are looking for - signs of strength as opposed to signs of weakness & you'll start to see it. Then you recognize what strength looks like you can either go with it or at least stop fading it.
Hrmm right yeah I overlooked that. Sometimes though it never does test the low, and starts to reverse early. So theres a few possibilities:
1. tests the low and the low holds, I can consider exiting after seeing that
2. tests the low and breaks thru, I profit even more as I hold
3. never tests the low and my profits start to evaporate
Usually I'm not prepared for these, and then they all start flooding into my mind mid-trade, which is the worst possible time. I probably need to think these through well ahead of time, so that I can just react based on what I see happening rather than trying to figure it all out on the fly...
I'm sure these "dilemmas" are all things newbies face, just hard to resolve so far
Slap me on the wrist today. Early on I went long on the pullback from the open, (I was going long right where rob was covering his one trade, we were both buying there), but then mid-trade I didn't stay with my stop and got scared after it went against me 2 ticks. It was a longer term bias too, I wouldve probably gotten out at 1301 from 1294
Since then, the whole day today I'm looking for spots to fade and obviously not working out good ha
You got in 3 ticks from the low of the day
3. It doesn't return to the low. Well, considering that money flow in a particular direction is difficult to stop, this does happen from time to time but really, how often have you seen this happen? Would a scratch trade here be such a bad exit?
Incidentally, you are using x_trader. Do you look at the DOM and T&S whilst trading? How do you find that additional information right now?