I use divergences and short daily trend(5/10/15/30 minutes charts). for the divergences I use stochastic and price action. initiate a position on either pullbacks and continuation of trend. what's your story?
currently I am trading one contract.
I'm alot less structured;
I read the order flow and use price levels and market depth levels for entries. I also guage alot of different aspects, including the price action in looking for opportunities whereby my analysis of all the different tools identifies a decent entry;
Although i can only post charts; Most of my setups are much more about reading prices movement and the orders and making decisions off that. I have a bunch of different setups around all these ideas that i execute; But my basic setup is identifying momentum and trying to time the low of a short-lived pullback. But my trading is much more about reading all the different aspects on my screen, the context, studying the context and then given my 'outlook' 'philosophy' look for intellegent ways of playing that context, in line with my beliefs and thoughts about how to win in the market.
Cheers
🙂
Your trading then; is a belief that as a trend continues, if its showing relative weakness compared to previous momentum; Whereby the current demand has been reduced in comparison to earlier; You percieve that the participants in this trend, due to the decrease in momentum, will start to exit positions and whereby NEW positions in that trend as decreasing .... Thereby you are anticipating a situation where (in a long trend) people take profits, and as shown by the relative strength, less new participants are joining long... Therefore you are profiting from the sell-off, of profitable traders (at first) who have percieved we to be 'running out of steam' and then later; the panic of traders who entered near the highs, as they exit lower = Thus, due to all the different timing of entrances during the UPtrend; We will have different exits as we fall, at different rates and this will produce a pro-longed fall for you to profit from.
Therefore your edge comes in having a decisive entrance when others will be slower to react to the changes in momentum because thats human nature to 'Hold on' and to, rather than exit on a high, exit as we fall - So the fall, is self-fulfilling, therefore your belief must be that the market is inefficient. You take money from reacting to changes in momentum, by using analysis to determine whether the current upmove is as strong as the previous; Therefore giving you information about the current demand situation and then anticipating current participants with long positions reaction to the pullback. This gives you profit from having
A) Analysis which determines variables that are important to existing position holders
B) Acting decisively to this analysis, before others do.
Correct or a load of ****?
One way to improve that would be to look @ the order flow at new highs and see if new traders are entering the market @ the ask.