S&P 500 & other indexes - intraday. Plus chat

For the record I think we will see it go down further once US opens, risk off time. But I'm not hanging around to see it. Good luck all.
 
DionysusToast said:
Timsk told me to change the avatar - apparently it was scaring the children.

As for the technology - let's see how it performs under pressure!
Click to expand...

draytek_vigor_2830n_09012012_17_46.jpg


This is the answer to my load balancing, back-up link, WiFi from hell router....
 
September 28th

Lots of news coming in 20 mins but kids need to go to bed, so have to prep ahead of that...

9:45 - Chicago PMI
9:55 - UOM Consumer Sentiment/Inflation

We have a potential range forming:

9-28-20128-03-55AM.png


And we have a nice area from the yellow line (1435) to yesterdays high (1444.50)

9-28-20128-04-42AM.png


I'll be looking for it to hold 1435 to confirm that this is now rangebound and continuing up. If it breaks 1435 with good flow, I'll be short biased. If it holds 1435, I'll be long. If we break out above yesterdays high, I'll be comfortable with more longs. If yesterdays high holds, has to be shorts...

Will do levels after 8:30.
 
Levels – YL – 1427.50, YH – 1444.50, YC 1441.25

Shorts – 1457.25,1453, 1446.50 (SP),1445.50
Longs - 1435.50, 1427.50, 1424, 1420 (SP), 1412.50, 1407.25

This new range has a value area of 1442.75 – 1462.75.

Ex wife just called to say she's disappearing for 45 days and can I come & pick up my kids clothes.... FFS....

Will be back 10am ish.... Jeez...
 
DionysusToast said:
I thought bandwidth was good but latency poor on these connections.

That plus my satellite TV turns off every time we get heavy rain...
Click to expand...

Yeah latency is unlikely to be better than 200-300ms.
No use other than pure backup.
If you have problems in rain with TV sat, it probably is useless in Thailand
given the rainfall.
 
DionysusToast said:
This is why I am thinking about scaling IN rather than OUT...

Less risk @ the start but I think there would be a lot more B/E trades too...

The issue I have is that it's very hard to go over your history & see if this would have worked out on each trade if you'd managed it differently.
Click to expand...

dionysustoast said:
gktk said:
nt has a "shadow" option so u can replicate a real trade in your sim account, the sim trade can then be managed via atm or manually ...not sure if this helps
Click to expand...
thing is g - you can have stats, but to do a "what if" on an alternative discretionary approach requires (imo) you to look through charts on each trade or have some really savvy software.

I'm at a loss on how to do it to be honest...
Click to expand...
If you record the feed there is a semi manual method of testing scaling in versus scaling out.
Just use the replay data, jumping to just before each trade entry point.
Obviously jumping in replay resets the replay trade data...

C:\Documents and Settings\PCname\My Documents\NinjaTrader 7\db
In there you will find the NinjaTrader.sdf file.
That contains all the data shown in the account performance subset tabs.
After closing each trade in replay, copy the sdf file to a temp folder within the db folder.
Move the replay control to the next entry time, copy the backup of the sdf file
and paste into the NinjaTrader 7\db folder overwriting the current sdf file which
is now blank due to moving the replay slider.
Keep a note of the last trade time and date so you can easily resume at a later date.

Obviously this will only work with mostly ATM trade management.
Any discretionary element will balls it up, as well as lack of slippage.
 
Tough day today - ex wife playing silly bugger with my son & the new wife got pished up @ the pub & expected the DT taxi service to drag her drunken ass home... Of course, this is better than her getting attacked by some Thai taxi driver.

Sat down after 11:45am EST, saw a decent pullback/measured move trade setup just after 12:00 but having just got in & sat down a few mins, I wasn't happy to take it.

Won't hang around for Friday PM action - see you next week.
 
DionysusToast said:
Tough day today - ex wife playing silly bugger with my son & the new wife got pished up @ the pub & expected the DT taxi service to drag her drunken ass home... Of course, this is better than her getting attacked by some Thai taxi driver.

.
Click to expand...

I think I may know a bit about your probs with females !
Personally I have a small dog for company and meet up with a woman or two for a few hours, only when I feel strong enough for the inevitable hassle. They are usually able to be on their best behaviour but for only a few hours !

:whistling
 
Mon
Oct 1 12:28am AUD AIG Manufacturing Index 44.1 45.3
12:50am JPY Tankan Manufacturing Index -3 -4 -1
12:50am JPY Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index 8 7 8
All Day CNY Bank Holiday
1:30am AUD MI Inflation Gauge m/m 0.2% 0.6%
2:00am CNY Manufacturing PMI 49.8 49.9 49.2
8:15am CHF Retail Sales y/y 5.9% 4.1% 2.9%
8:15am EUR Spanish Manufacturing PMI 44.5 44.0
8:30am CHF SVME PMI 43.6 47.6 46.7
8:45am EUR Italian Manufacturing PMI 45.7 44.1 43.6
9:00am EUR Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate 10.7% 10.8% 10.7%
9:00am EUR Final Manufacturing PMI 46.1 46.0 46.0
9:30am GBP Manufacturing PMI 48.4 49.5 49.6
9:30am GBP Net Lending to Individuals m/m -0.4B 0.7B 0.6B
9:30am GBP M4 Money Supply m/m 0.2% 0.7% 0.5%
9:30am GBP Mortgage Approvals 48K 50K 48K
10:00am EUR Unemployment Rate 11.4% 11.4% 11.4%
1:30pm CAD RMPI m/m 1.4% 0.9%
1:30pm CAD IPPI m/m 0.1% -0.5%
2:00pm USD Final Manufacturing PMI 51.5 51.5
3:00pm USD ISM Manufacturing PMI 49.8 49.6
3:00pm USD Construction Spending m/m 0.6% -0.9%
3:00pm USD ISM Manufacturing Prices 55.6 54.0
5:00pm USD FOMC Member Williams Speaks
5:30pm USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks

Get those pips in guys
 
Pat494 said:
I think I may know a bit about your probs with females !
Personally I have a small dog for company and meet up with a woman or two for a few hours, only when I feel strong enough for the inevitable hassle. They are usually able to be on their best behaviour but for only a few hours !

:whistling
Click to expand...

Well - I'm all for a woman or two for a few hours, although I may need some Gatorade at half time.
 
1st October 2012

Europe up, Asia Mixed

10-1-20126-47-33AM.png


The past 4 days have marked out their own mini-range and that may continue but I would much prefer to see a bounce back up past 1450 for another more tradable move down.

Range of those last 4 days is 1424-1444.50. We have hit the bottom of the range a fair amount, so we might not come back to a good level to bounce up off…

Mechanical levels
YH 1443.50, YL 1429, YC 1434.25, ONL 1427.75

Longs – 1434.25, 1429, 1424, 1420 (SP)
Shorts – 1444.50, 1446.50, 1453
 
9:34 - Shorted the bounce off YH - shorted 42.75 but on the first bounce. Scratched it in the end when it spent too long there without moving down.

Nothing now till the news....
 
U.S. oil firm ConocoPhillips (EUREX: COPF.EX - news) is ready to sell its stake in Kazakhstan's giant Kashagan oilfield, and the Central Asian nation is eager to acquire this share, senior Kazakh officials said on Tuesday.

* Mondelez International Inc, which ranks as the world's biggest chocolate, candy and biscuit maker after being carved out of Kraft Foods Inc, is optimistic busy consumers will keep driving booming demand for snacks despite the downturn.

* The Institute for Supply Management-New York (Frankfurt: A0DKRK - news) releases at 1345 GMT September index of regional business activity. In August, the index read 560.5.

* Fertilizer producer Mosaic reports quarterly results. The drought that ripped into the U.S. corn crop this past summer likely helped Mosaic sell more phosphate and potash fertilizer, boosting quarterly results.

* European shares fell 0.3 percent on Tuesday, surrendering a portion of the previous day's rally, as doubts over whether or not debt-stricken Spain will request a bailout kept investors on edge.

* Spain is ready to request a euro zone bailout for its public finances as early as next weekend but Germany has signalled that it should hold off, European officials said on Monday.

* Wall Street started a new quarter with a modest rally on Monday, lifted by a surprising expansion in U.S. manufacturing in September.

* The Dow Jones industrial average rose 77.98 points, or 0.58 percent, to 13,515.11 at the close. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index advanced 3.82 points, or 0.27 percent, at 1,444.49. The Nasdaq Composite Index dipped 2.70 points, or 0.09 percent, to close at 3,113.53. (Reporting by Atul Prakash/editing by Chris Pizzey, London MPG Desk, +44 (0)207 542-4441)
.
 
Tue
Oct 2 12:50am JPY Monetary Base y/y 9.0% 7.8% 6.5%
All Day CNY Bank Holiday
1:00am NZD ANZ Commodity Prices m/m 3.5% 0.5%
2:30am JPY Average Cash Earnings y/y 0.2% -0.9% -1.6%
5:30am AUD Cash Rate 3.25% 3.50% 3.50%
5:30am AUD RBA Rate Statement
7:00am GBP Nationwide HPI m/m -0.4% 0.1% 1.1%
7:30am AUD Commodity Prices y/y -14.9% -14.7%
8:00am EUR Spanish Unemployment Change 79.6K 38.2K
9:30am GBP Construction PMI 49.5 50.0 49.0
10:00am EUR PPI m/m 0.6% 0.4%
Tentative GBP 10-y Bond Auction 1.83|1.8
All Day USD Total Vehicle Sales 14.4M 14.5M

Quiet day ?
 
We need more trades in this thread again... I'm as guilty as everyone else in this respect. I've tapered off my posts here apart from the pre-market stuff.

No particular reason tbh except laziness. I still do the screen prints for my journal, just that the uploads are a pain in the ass...

My apologies thread, I shall try to improve...
 
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