August 17th – Friday
We have now broken the 4 year high - but not by much .
We had a bit of a spike up on Wednesday – 1409.50, so now we have to see if that holds.
Below that we have yesterdays low at 1401.75 and Mondays VPOC at 1396
So – for me, I’ll be trying to figure out which one of the following is happening:
1 – Continuation upwards
2 – Back into the prior value area 1395 – 1409.50 and more ranging action
3 – A new balance area here.
Number 3 is least likely IMO as we didn’t really move out of the prior range much. If we keep moving up just a few points & balancing again, it does not bode well for the upside longer term. Better if we have 20 point pop and then balance.
Shorts – 1418.25, 1415.50, 1415, 1413.75
Longs – 1413, 1409.50,1396, 1384.75