Best Thread Featured Quick reference for real trading profit. Tips that work

I am verging on a number of what I believe High Probability Trades:

Long GBPUSD on a Break Out over next few days - current 1.6459 (likely to be off Monday/Tuesday before BO?) see chart of expected price action

Short S&P500 on a stop entry 899 - current - 920.9 (time for this to fill still)

Short SoyBean Meal July - Have been short for awhile but believe early gains are small percentage of fall due.

My view is that a large relief rally is tiring and both Commodities and Shares will tank.

I am also short QMN9 - NYMEX miNY Light Sweet Crude Oil, Jul 2009 from 71.90

On the commodities & S&P side this is a counter trend trade, I rarely do these, but the speed of relief rally is likely to deliver a substantial and fast move south as fear reasserts..

Which will set up the biggest of the uplegs (2nd upleg is always better).

Just put up the GBP chart up as it is the most immediate


In my view the GBP has not yet broken out. however it is a highly advanced pattern.

I had a long GBPUSD, but as I still expect a retracement, I closed this and pegged a buy stop point below current action to get a better fill.

The risk is that I miss the BO. Previously I have always biased to be in and ruined Risk reward ratio on drawdown.

I have decided where market action has not completed I will rather miss a few BO trades and rather nail the ones that behave as expected.


I have also placed Short stop entry orders on the S&P as detailed above below 899.9
 

Attachments

  • GBPUSD 19.6.09.png
    GBPUSD 19.6.09.png
    172.9 KB · Views: 284
  • trade placed.jpg
    trade placed.jpg
    168.2 KB · Views: 255
Seems I have a way but it's off the cuff of the norm? I read news letter alerts that get sent out all over the net. I research when those quote "Alerts" started, and the ones that are new (depending on the potential of the company) I will get into.

Reason is in my experience is that you make money when you follow the money. It has not failed me yet though I have had some bad buys but I have had some good ones too. I play pennies that way. I play the big boards different but it all buckles down to Due Diligence and it begins with the management team! Hope this helps.
 
If you are really clever, hardworking etc. you should be able to figure out a winning system in 2 years

If you are averagely intelligent it will take approx 6-10 years

If you are not blessed with brains and motivation then as at school hunt around for a swot/geek type of know-it-all and crib off them. ( Could involve a lot of brown-nosing - ugh !! )

So unless you have an IQ of under 50 and the habits of a slug then YOU have no excuses for not being a success at day trading

QED :smart:
 
In a Bull market...Be Long or Neutral - in a Bear market...Be Short or Neutral
A lot of people forget this rule and trade against the trend by calling for short term changes in market conditions. This usually causes psychological imbalance and frequently leads to losses.
 
We will never trade perfectly but must attempt to at least minimize our natural self destructive impulses. Keep a journal of your trades. Don't just mimic the information contained in your brokerage statement. Instead keep a log of you felt emotionally about each trade.
 
Yes!

I hope a lot of people would pay attention to the tip you just gave, but since it is very easy to go against the trend looking for short therm variations many people gets trapped and loose money.
What i do, in a bull market (and vice versa) is if the price has gone too high i wait it to come back down and then i enter into a long position despite how attractive could be to get into a short one, not many people has paid attention to these tip and they are after me some two or three weeks later asking me how to do it.
Good one. :smart:
 
You should always try to end your day on a positive note. Try to end your trading day with a small positive trade or a small stop loss. This will keep your confidence levels fresh and ready for the next day . When you see more black entries (profits) than red entries ( losses ) for the day you will sleep better and your confidence will grow .
 
The "normal" people are too lazy to look back and ask themselves why things are going wrong . They are not willing to sacrifice the time to write down a diary of their trades and they think they can ignore advice given to them time and time again by experienced traders . Advice like :

GET OVER CONFIDENT AND THE MARKET WILL ABSOLUTELY & WITHOUT DOUBT PUT YOU RIGHT BACK IN YOUR PLACE .
 
Last edited:
I find that indicators do not help me and that support and resistance points are all you need to be successful
 
After a show of strength, buy above a low volume pullback (especially a perfect doji).

Buy above a successful low-volume test of the day's high.

Use a screener at the day's open looking for stocks that gap up 10% or more on 50k Volume+ above 0.75$. Weed out the one's with too much volume, because they will often only gap and range. Many times, the top couple of the open are your best candidates. Wait for the three bar swing to establish the highs and lows of the open, then look for a good entry.

If nothing pops out at the open, lower the % gain requirement on your screener and try to catch stocks that gapped only a few % points but that are trending a few hours in.
 
The golden rule

cut your losses short, let your profits run - golden rule often hard to adhere to when your starting out. The need to be right and the hope that your losing position will turn around is often the cause of destruction for most new account holders.

Large when your up small when your down - increasing your postion size when your winning reducing when your losing,


The edge is on top of the fence - My own sentiment, many traders feel like that they have to constantly be active in the market to make money, even if they cannot see clear reasons to enter a position they will feel pressured to be engaged in the market one way or another. The ability not to take a up a position and "sit on the fence" can be your "egde" as a trader. Why try to guess where a top and bottom might be? let the market prove your thoery rigth before you enter.
 
Confucius say :-
Have
Patience of a saint
Heart of a lion
Strike speed of a cobra
and brain of genius

( if ya got that lot all rolled up in one package you prolly need medical attention mighty quick time ):cheesy:
 
"It amazes me that the biggest advantage that the public has is this ability not to have to trade and to wait for only the best opportunities before making there commitment and yet they squander this by over trading in order to make money faster. With the net result that they lose money faster.

Its interesting that we have mentioned time because my favourite quote is from Jesse Livermore: "Time is not money. Time is time and money is money".

We are ingrained from an early age that the more time you spend working at something the more money you make. The more hours you work the more you get paid etc.

When I teach new traders they are always dismayed at how few and far between the really good signals are. "What?!", they say, "you mean I have to sit here for a few days just waiting?! But there are massive moves every day...just look at gbp/jpy it's gone up 200 pips and then back down 200 while we've been talking..."

This concept is totally wrong in trading. Yes you do have to put many hours in at the beginning but once you know what you are doing, you can make a years salary in 10 minutes. Then sit back and do nothing for days, weeks, months until the next opportunity strikes.

Time is just the interval until the next trade. It has nothing to do with how much you will earn."

By TD
 
"Trading is actually remarkably simple, but it can be as complicated as you want to make it; personally I try to keep it as simple as possible."

The first line in my article about the most important lessons I've learned in Forex trading and how I trade as a result of these beliefs. My Lessons Learned Trading
 
Top