I know some of you were short from one or both of these pins on Usd/Cad...a good example of why it pays to try and hold...
Holding this looks p*ss easy with hindsight (see chart) but one would have had to sit out a 300 pip retracement.
Retracements against your position may well scare you but try to set your stop based on where the trade is TECHNICALLY invalid (not just based on how much you can bear to give back from your wins) and WALK AWAY
You give a lot back...but when you hit a runner...you hit a runner (especially nice if its paying you carry interest) !!!
This is amazing!!!...
...with this Skype plug-in thingy on my web-browser I can actually call-up a specified chart price level!
This is the future of trading... :clap:
Magnus
Holding an FX trade for over 2 weeks is a new personal best though - I am slowly getting better. Next!
Thanks, Tom.
By the way, if someone can provide an outlook for AUDUSD for next week, I'd appreicate it. I have a long position +100pip and wonder if I should keep it.
Good weekend and good trading everyone.
Ilya
Nice trade Guys..
Very bullish candle on weekly and daily. The level of 8500 seems to be attracting the price..
Where did you guys leave the stop?
0.7700 look a nice spot to buy or add to the position and place the stop..
There is hidden divergence building on the weekly chart indicating at least a correction to the uptrend that has developed to the daily , possible weekly chart off 3505 low, may occur. The first chart below shows that hidden divergence in all 3 oscillators on the Weekly chart.
In respect of potential sbr/res the second chart shows the monthly previous swing lo=previous support=potential sbr zone which is a way off yet. Ahead of that zone there are 3 significant fibs of the swings down to 3505; 6698 = 61.8% 8668-3505, 6839 = 50% 0157-3505, 6949 = 50% 0390-3505 and in that zone there is the 50% of the major 2.1162-1.3505 swing down @ 7337 There is no obvious potential sbr/res zone on the weekly chart below this monthly zone.
If I were trading off the daily trigger I would be looking for a decent daily reversal candle (pin, inside, engulfing etc...) at these levels and some oscillator extremes or divergence on that t/f.
Nearer term potential sbr/res and you have to dip down to the daily chart..the third screenshot below. it shows a previous swing hi=prev res=potential resistance (a) 6367-6687 and a previous minor swing low =previous support=potential sbr (b) 6772-7027 at which I might look for a 4hr set-up possibly fine tuned on the 1hr. As you will see both these daily zones encompass some of the fibs mentioned above.
Closer still potential resistance and price clsoed on friday in and toward the top extreme of the previous 1hr swing hi=prev res=potential resistance zone 6156-96, 6196 being area of friday's hi. The Dly wkly and Monthly candle closes look very bullish?
BBMAC
I'm surprised! I had you down as a good old Price Action(PA) only man; not using them awful historical painting indicators - all you need to know is there in the PA!!
IMO the time period is to great to use any sort of divergence..thats just me though
check this beast..but what is it?
My own tactical approach to the intraday market is in looking for hi-probability individual price action triggers at pre-identified potential support/resistance/sbr/rbs with a repeating indicator pattern comprised of band/channel deviation and oscillator extremes/divergence. The use of hi-probability repeating indicator patterns enhances my decision making as individual price action alone on my 1min trigger can be less reliable that on higher time frames. If I were trading off a higher trigger time frame I would be less inclined to use the indicator patterns as individual price action triggers are generally more reliable than on the lower time frames.