Best Thread Potential setups

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One last thing.

If anyone took that GBP/JPY daily pin and has moved their stop to breakeven or profit they are the worst trader on this thread.

And can never post here again.

Thanks.
 
Out here on the dailys I thought the best pair was audyen - but I have decided not to trade any of them on account of my RR ratio. Something not quite right about where they sit for me; sure you may get 100 pips or so, but I 'reckon' they could put in a reverse pin the other way in less than a day or two!! Take a look at the monthly gbpyen -I know we have a few days to go but it's looking pretty bearsih to me??

Same with usdcad - daily s/Star, but again the RR was not good enough for me, so today I'm flat.
It's hard to not trade below dlys but much less stressful - plus the daily charts show the true trail of the big money imo - and I need to be on their coat tails!
 
Any opinions on USDCHF

Looking at my USD/CHF chart and the weekly and daily charts are moving into a very tight wedge. Anyone like to share their opinion on possible directions?

At the moment it looks very bearish, but if we see a further sell off in equities I think this trend will reverse.
 

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Looking at my USD/CHF chart and the weekly and daily charts are moving into a very tight wedge. Anyone like to share their opinion on possible directions?

At the moment it looks very bearish, but if we see a further sell off in equities I think this trend will reverse.

Read this. Hope it helps.

ZURICH, April 29 (Reuters) - The Swiss franc ticked down against the euro on Wednesday ahead of the key Swiss growth barometer KOF as markets stayed wary of an intervention from the Swiss National Bank.

There were still upward pressures on the Swiss franc, a Zurich-based trader said. "But the market does not dare to take it higher because of the SNB."

Markets were now awaiting the KOF leading growth barometer for April, due at 0930 GMT, the trader said. The KOF is expected to hit a fresh record low.

The franc dipped 0.1 percent against the euro compared to the New York close, trading at 1.5052 per euro at 0653 GMT.

The franc ticked up 0.1 percent against the dollar to 1.1414 per dollar.

SNB officials have emphasised repeatedly that the central bank would fight a renewed appreciation of the currency as it tries to fend off the risk of deflation.

Nervousness has been rising in the market since the euro-franc dropped below 1.51 per euro.

"There are question marks over the SNB's commitment to weaken the franc, though most market players expect the SNB to defend 1.50," Deutsche Bank analyst Henrik Gullberg said.

"For the KOF it will be interesting to see whether it will follow other leading indicators like ZEW and Ifo to show signs of a bottoming out or cautious turnaround," Gullberg said.

"If it does not, then that must be seen to reinforce the SNB's resolve to weaken the franc to underpin economic prospects," he said.
 
Age 24: £7 on July corn

woo

Age 23: Was seeing decent trading profits for the amount of equity held then wiped out the few hundred in the trading account on a botched, over-leveraged, unanlysed, greedy oil trade.

Age 24: Contemplating ending life with a bullet holding a note that says failure or getting back into the shizen and potential set-ups thread instead of talking smack on t2w
 
For anyone that is interested (isn't aware), here is a record of Livermores achievements. All monetary values have been converted into inflation adjusted terms for 2009 to show how much he made/lost was worth in todays money.

July 26, 1877: Jesse Livermore is born in West Acton, Massachusetts.

brutusdog born circa 1980 from the moment he slips out vows to spend the rest of his life trying to get back in that thing (no not his mum you sickos)

Age 14: Begins work in Paine Weber & Co's Boston stockbroking offices, transferring prices from ticker-tape to quotation board.

gets first stiring in his pants, after looking up matrons skirt. (she wasnt an old dog but the understudy)

Age 15: Makes a $69.10 profit on this first trade - in Burlington stock. Accumulates his first $22,149 by trading stocks and commodities in bucket shops.

brut rapes himself for the first time (definatly wont be the last)

Age 16: Paine Weber & Co instruct Jesse Livermore that he must either quit speculating in bucket shops or quit his job. He quits the job.

Brurus is told stop that or you will go blind ( risk worth taking imo managed 7 today till it got raw)

Age 20: Accumulates his first $221,490 by trading in bucket shops.

Brtusdogs first optical appointment ( your vision is seriously impaired chap)

Age 21: Moves to New York to trade on the NYSE through legitimate stockbrokers. His fortune has been reduced to $55,372.

enters a female for the first time, then sings maddonas like a virgin to her

Age 22: Loses all funds via unsuccessful trading on NYSE - he attributes this to slow execution of his trades. Borrows $11,074 and goes to St. Louis to trade in bucket shops. He returns to New York with $55,372, repays the loan and resumes trading on both the Exchange and in bucket shops. According to Livermore: "I was not quite twenty-three, all alone in New York with easy money in my pockets and the belief in my heart that I was beginning to understand the new machine. I was making allowances for the actual execution of my orders on the floor of the Exchange, and moving more cautiously. But I was still sticking to the tape - that is, I was still ignoring general principles; and as long as I did that I could not spot the exact trouble with my game."

gets dumped!

Age 23: At the beginning of the day, Livermore's fortune stands at over 1 million dollars ($1,182,950). At the end of a frantic day's trading, Livermore is broke. "The ticker beat me by lagging so far behind the market. The divergence between the printed and the actual prices undid me."

discovers prostitution.

Age 24: Livermore returns to the bucket shops and wire houses. He intends gettings a stake together to trade the Stock Exchange again. He is back to dealing in sums of just thousands of dollars. He wins consistently. The wire houses try to swindle Livermore and he responds with several sting operations in which he manipulates prices of thinly traded stocks on the NYSE in order to take large amounts from the wire houses. After a year of successfully trading the wire houses, Livermore has accumulated enough money to buy an automobile and take on an expensive lifestyle. He returns to New York for the third time with a "fair sized roll."

now the liver is in trouble as well as the eyes. (but the alchol makes the fat girls look better

Age 28: Makes a profit of 5.5 million dollars ($5,537,250) shorting stocks on a hunch that preceded the San Francisco earthquake.

uses viagra for the first time.

Age 29: Loses $885,960 acting on a tip from Ed Harding.

gets an S.T.D

Age 30: Livermore shorts the market during a crash and makes 21 million ($21,245,000). Buys a yacht then loses over 4 million dollars ($4,249,000) trading cotton.

gets bored with this laters....

Age 30 / 31: Livermore breaks his own trading rules - he takes advice from commodities expert Percy Thomas. Things go badly. Breaks his own trading rules again - increases his losing position in cotton and sells his winning position in wheat. Goes broke. Leaves New York and goes to Chicago where a trading house, aware of his ability, offers him limited finance for trading. Livermore is then summoned back to New York by Dan Williamson, owner of a Stock Exchange trading house. Williamson gives Livermore just over half a million dollars ($531,125) to resume trading. After three weeks trading, Livermore has made a profit of 2 million dollars ($2,379,440). Williamson interferes with his trading, buying and selling on Livermore's behalf, and runs up losses. Livermore walks away from the relationship.

Age 36: In several years of a flat market, with "no money to be made," Livermore's debts have grown to well over 20 million ($20,820,000) He declares bankruptcy. Of this, he later said, "My mind now being free to take up trading with some prospect of success, the next step was to get another stake."

Age 37: Livermore asks Dan Williamson for help. Williamson offers Livermore the (very small) facility to trade 500 shares. Livermore reads the tape for six weeks before making a trade - he needs to be 100 percent sure the trade will be profitable. Livermore buys Bethlehem Steel on high margin at $98. Steel is rising because of demand from World War I. The price moves upward as he expects and, as the stock rises, he buys more at $115. The following day he sells at $145. He has achieved what he set out to achieve - he has a sizeable stake again.

Age 38: After several months of successful trading, Livermore's balance stands at almost 3 million dollars ($2,989,030)

Age 38 / 39: Livermore plays the market perfectly - he is long when the market is strongly bullish and then goes short when it turns bearish. He makes over 57 million dollars ($57,303,000) profit and goes to Palm Beach for the winter.

Age 40: Livermore makes another 24 million dollars ($24,398,999) profit and pays back all his debts from 1914. He buys 13 million dollars ($13,012,799) worth of annuities to ensure his family has a secure income should he ever be wiped out in the markets again. He also puts money into trusts for his wife and son.

Age 44 / 45: Gives interviews to Edwin Lefèvre for a series of newspaper articles. The articles are then compiled into a book - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator - now regarded as a classic.

Age 46: Moves to custom-designed offices in the Hecksher Building, Fifth Avenue. Livermore wishes to be further removed from Wall Street gossip and to enjoy more secrecy for his trading operations.

Age 48: In the 1925 wheat market Livermore buys grain in 5 million bushel lots while the market is rising, turns bear at the top and sells 50 million bushels short for a profit of 118 million dollars ($118,970,000)

Age 52: Jesse Livermore's greatest moment as a trader. He goes short in the great crash of 1929 and makes a profit of around 1.2 billion dollars ($1,217,500,000)

Age 56: The police are called when Jesse Livermore apparently goes missing. One day after disappearing he returns home, walking unsteadily. He says he spent the night in a hotel and awoke with a blank mind. Reading newspaper headlines about his disappearance brought him to his senses. His doctor's verdict: "Amnesia nervous breakdown." Later in the year, Jesse Livermore is bankrupt. He has lost his entire trading fortune. How he did this is unknown. He is not destitute - his family annuities save the day. He and his wife sail to Europe. "I hope to relieve my mind of some of my troubles."

Age 62: Jesse Livermore writes How to Trade in Stocks - a book for people wishing to learn stock trading. The book is published.

Age 63: Jesse Livermore dies by his own hand, via a revolver bullet through the brain. He had been suffering from depression and in his suicide note he describes his life as a "failure".
 
Looking at my USD/CHF chart and the weekly and daily charts are moving into a very tight wedge. Anyone like to share their opinion on possible directions?

At the moment it looks very bearish, but if we see a further sell off in equities I think this trend will reverse.

Long
 
I"ll see you some other thread then maybe.
It was fun while it lasted ...

I took some off at T1 - 1.43.50 and also the daily 20ema

"Some off" is fine if that is part of your plan.

I'm talking about those that closed everything.

Risk on pin was 196 pips (without spread). Reward at highest point has been 176.

That's only 0.89:1.

Less than ideal if you cut it all.

And if you are at breakeven, well, the probability is you will do your cheeks for zero profit any way.
 
Gbpjpy daily pinbar

I was looking at that Gbpjpy daily pinbar and looking at the longer weekly chart to see the current conditions of the trend it was re-entering....early stages of an uptrend on that weekly t/f but a definate uptrend per overaall price action-peak/valley analysis, and with the confluence of the 38.2% fib of the 118.76-151.40 upmove it was a high probability entry. Well done to whoever spotted it, (sorry I didn't notice who did)

19w2g0.gif
 
"Some off" is fine if that is part of your plan.
I'm talking about those that closed everything.
Risk on pin was 196 pips (without spread). Reward at highest point has been 176.
That's only 0.89:1.
Less than ideal if you cut it all.
And if you are at breakeven, well, the probability is you will do your cheeks for zero profit any way.

I'm still smarting from turning a big winner into a big loser on this pair last week and it hurt.
I'm not trying to make it back like this I'm just covering my stake. The rest can run without moving stop.
 
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