superspurs
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Hey Guys,
Just a short note of interest. I know I have said before about drawing your SR lines and Pivots on the Line charts and not the H/Ls of the candles. When you plot your Fibs in the same way (H/Ls from the line chart) then just look how accurate the confluence becomes!
I know you can achieve the same by using the bases/tops of the candle body; Try it, you'll be amazed! (well, not the old and bold amongst you!)
I'm out of the market today as I think the whipsaws are too big for me to stomach! The gold H4 pin from Fri has not been broken (the high) yet I'm confused on gold and I think the world is a little confused and not knowing where to turn. I think cash may be the safest holding over the next few weeks (providing the governments don't go and print too much more paper money)
Looks like Bill Bonner hit the nail on the head in his book a couple of years ago, 'Empire of Debt'; a good economic read.
Good trading all, and monitor those open positions closely!
Grim
i,ll have a look at this in the am,for the isa.either get in on the break of the high of the candle or with a bit of luck a pullback
i,ll be playing the bullish outside bar on the daily
just my 2ps worth on drawing trendlines from the close price instead of the extremes....
check out superspurs post (1990 on page 199) if he had drawn his trend line from the close price his chart woudnt make any sense!!! i agree this method gives a more accurate picture of price movement(sometimes)but you have to ask the question are these lines tradable??imo the only time the shadows should be ignored(generally speaking) is on the pin bars with long noses,other wise your gonna find a lot of false breaks!!
like i said jus my 2ps worth
p.s. just a not on the fibs..if ,for e.g. ,there is a 10% shadow above the close price high and a 10% shadow below the close price low the fibs would be the same no???not done the maths but seems likely,also in the testing that i have done the difference is minimal and remembering tht a pivot price is more a zone than a defo price it doesnt make much difference in my experience,the key is to be consistent in your method and you will find the best way to track n trade the instrument
I wqouldnt bother with that skelly its completely covered by the previous bar - ie: not sticking out into a 'new' price area. Looks a good level though so worth keeping an eye on.
Everything looks really 'scruffy' at the moment to me, cant see anything. Ive been trying to whip a demo account up from 100k to 1 mill to pass the time. On third account so far