bracke said:
I show below to-days ftse chart.
There are two large volume spikes at approx 12.20 and 0130 with little price movement.
Is this simply a case of a sudden large equal number of buys and sells or am I missing something?
Would one of the enlightened ones care to enlighten the unenlightened?
Thank you
Regards
bracke
Hi,
Sorry Bracke, I'm not one of the enlightened ones but maybe one of the enlightened ones can help both you and me
I found T2W a few weeks ago, been busy reading ever since. Got onto this thread from the First Steps section - Recommended Forum Topics. Went through FTSEBeaters thread on the basics of trading and then onto here! All the way from page 1 to page 59 where it finished. I went to elite forums to read dbphoenix thread on price and volume and the associated pdf files he's made available on Yahoo. Went through most of Jesse Livermore's autobiography. It makes fascinating reading and gives an insight to the shakers and movers. Am halfway through Richard Wyckoff. I'm going to reread this whole thread again as a lot of the stuff went over my head this first time around!! but then I saw the above post by Bracke and I couldn't resist
.... I had a look to see if I could come up with a story behind the price & volume. I've come up with something which to me seems a reasonable interpretation "after the event" so I thought I would post it here to see other peoples reaction and to see how much I don't know!
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I would go back to just before 9am where there was some support (more buyers than sellers) that pushed the price up. I think the crowd thought that there might a rally in sight, hence the long bar up at 9:10. However, there was little follow through on low volume on the following bar (majority disagreed), (shooting star) opens and closes roughly the same but the range moved up during the bar.
There were attempts by the bulls at just before 10, 11:30 and 12:20 to buy but they were beaten back by the sellers each time.
Around 12:20, the price had come back down to 4500 where it bounced earlier in the day. I think a few of them were getting nervous and then there was an agreement on the price that it was fair. A balance between buyers thinking it was going up, and sellers thinking is was going down, hence the narrow price range. However, in the end the sellers won when the price breached 4500 at just gone 12:30.
I think the price drop at 12:55 past the price of 4497? at 8:15 caught a few people napping and they didn't sell, hoping it would bounce. Eveyone waits nervously (volume drops) and waits to see what happens. It breaches 4495, some people think it is cheap and start buying but the sellers come back and push the price down again. At 1:30 I would have said the bulls back in the morning have decided to give up and sell, (maybe because it hit their stop losses or in relation to some other point in the chart from previous days).
Anyway, that's what I think so far.
Anything above 3/10 would tell me I'm on the right track
... just don't laugh too loudly at my mistakes
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I'm off to read the rest of Wyckoff and from page 60 (post 886) to here!
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Alan