My results today
Hi Scott,
I don't think there is an indicator that can tell you when conditions are choppy or range bound. That is just experience through screen time. The way I use the system is as follows:
EXIT STRATEGY......
Trade 2 lots
1st Lot comes out at +10
2nd Lot Stays in with stop @ flat
As soon as the system goes the other way, by this I mean parabolic switches or MACD switches. I also use a 10 SMA 21 SMA if these cross or the price opens on the opposite side on the 21ma price to where it needs to be (eg...if I am long and the price opens below the 21 SMA) I also get out. Also if the price breaks above a recent relative high I take the 2nd out too.
As far as stops go....
1st Lot comes out at -5
2nd Lot comes out at -10
I believe you need to act in a consistent manner each time you trade. I took a -12 hit this AM for not acting in a consistent manner..1st lot came out that was fine...took the second out too early. I was long @24.8..you can only imagine how sick I felt as I watched the price rocket as I cut it pretty much at the LOD.
If the price is banging it's head on the 50sma I would wait for a break before taking the signal.
Once the market is range bound, I draw lines at the relative high and relative low and wait for a break. I generally don't trade the first move but wait for the next signal after the break.
To me the toughest part of trading is knowing when to trade and not to trade
Thanks for your reply ceydababy,
I've learnt so much from all the posts here. I am new to day trading. I've been taking lots of notes.
I used the pivot points today and found them to be tremendously helping. I was amazed how many times the price paused at the support/resistance areas. Sometimes they bounced off and sometimes the broke through. Also plotting the levels of ranges and waiting for breakouts helped too. I have more to learn about the swing high/lows. Sometimes i remembered them and sometimes I forgot.
Anyway, I made 20 real trades today. 10 profits/10 losses. 1m bars on FTSE Cash.
+ -
5.00
5.40
9.70 (at +10 at one stage)
10.00 (at +14 for a time)
1.50
4.50
6.00 (between +10 & +12 for a while)
5.30
3.00
7.00 (again, over +10 at one point)
5.70
1.20 (at +6 on Pivot resistance for a while)
5.00
0.30
2.40
4.30
5.00
5.00
4.00
1.00 (at +3.20 a one point)
Totals
Profit: 49.10
Loss: 42.20
Total profit: 6.90
A lot of mistakes but good experience. Learnt a lot about my faulty psychology. Too greedy. Lots of times I was +2 and +3 only to watch me take a loss of -5. That was my stop. Also when i was over +5 or even +10 I was greedy for more. I think if I had entered a profit stop of +10 and maybe a BE stop when I was +2 or 3 then I would have fared much better. I think I ought to lower my expectations and be content with taking a profit and getting out sooner.
I think I may have overtraded today and entered counter-trend trades that probably lost. I will have to back and review each trade. I was pleased to notice times when the MACDH and SAR were out of sync and the candle bars were too wide and choppy. Then I stayed out and waited for them to get back in sync.
I found the MACDH divergences would have set up a couple of nice trades with the signal also. Something to keep a look out for.
I think the experience was worth more than 1000 pts! I'm very much a newcomer to day-trading but I find that a lot of the EOD swing-trading experience is also applicable to smaller timeframes.
I'm going through all the posts and making notes to develop into a cohesive system. I keep the entry signals as laid out at the start of this thread. A few times i was extremely tempted to enter trades based on other factors but I had to stop and remind myself that I had to be disciplined and that I was either going to practice this system or not. One cannot be chopping and changing midstream. I learned that I need to be very clear and decisive about what I am doing. Sometimes I didn't feel confident about entering the signals. I think hopefully that will come with time.
Okay, I have to go now. Until next time! Any feedback, advice etc, would be welcome. Thanks
regards,
Scott
ps The pivot points, support/resistance lines, and a few trendlines that I plotted worked well for me today. I made plenty of mistakes but will learn from them. Also, I kept an eye on 3m and 5m charts occasionally just to for assurance.