Here it is then out of the word doc....
Hi,
I'm new to posting here, lurked for a while though.
23.27GMT went long .2 at 8250 (limit entry breakout, anticipating classical Tokyo 40pips up)
05.27GMT closed out at 8270 for 20pips as it had stalled at 8277, not reaching my goal of 8290
reversed to short .1 at 8270 looking for a pre-Big Ben down to 8230
entered limitbuy of .1 at 8234 with limit to 8254 to catch pre-Big Ben correction
If pre-Big Ben works out, I'll go short at 8254 to see it down to 8200, off of which a big figure bounce is likely to occur.
To answer likely questions: real money, 15min, EMA 7, 20, 40, Bollis, MACD, pivots daily
20 pips before my first coffee, nice way to start the day
PS: putting in a safety net entry stop buy of .1 at 8278 in case the upward madness continues...
Better safe than sorry.
Well, while I'm all talkative and in confessional mode, here goes:
I use daily pivots, bollinger bands and MACD on a 15min chart.
I don't use a system, it's more of a method:
- stay away from big figures
- bounces occur off of big figures and resistance/support levels
- don't get greedy - play it tame, the money's the same
- hedge your longs with shorts and vice versa
- short spurts are more likely to happen than long rushes
- daily average move up/down in cable is 175
I don't have steel balls, I just use liquid nitrogen for blood
My mainstay are the daily pivot and s/r levels, all the rest is show.
News is very important.
I don't know if it's going up or down, EVER. I go for the possibility, not even the PROBABILITY of it.
Just try to figure out short spurts, bounce-off levels (also known as hurdles) and how far past the hurdle the rate will *safely* go.
That's all there is to it.
Findings:
I have two major underperformers in my dogsled team: S44 and L57 They're pulling the pipcount down considerably, even into the negative if MonkeyBounce were an automated system.
Switched them around to L44 and S57. Much better!
Some tweaking:
1) trend bias: lead dog L08 gets double position, SL78 (30pips) ok, LIM43 (35pips) ok
2) S57 ran better a bit further away from the middle, so now is S63
3) L44 performs best as a sprinter on a short leash: SL 15pips LIM 20pips
4) S63, on the contrary, sprints better on a long leash of 30pips SL (counterintuitive at +20 limit)
5) S91 stumbled too often on the finish line 35pips, so now LIM is 30pips
6) S91 also got a trend bias: the leash is shortened to 20pips, in case the big fig doesn't hold.
So, new line-up:
L08, SL78, LIM43, performing 58.8% of the time. Good dawg!
L44, SL29, LIM64, performs at 52.9%. Big contributor to bottom line, sprints off most often. Wow!
S63, SL93, LIM43, performs at 68.2%. Real hellhound, that one!
S91, SL11, LIM61, performs at 50%, another workdog.
Overall performance: 57.5%
Ready for next week's Iditarod?
MUUUUSH!!!
PS: raw figures (note: only one position is open at the same time for the same entry point):
L08, 10 winners, 7 losers, +140pips (not counting double position, that's $$$ diff., not pip diff.)
L44, 36 winners, 32 losers, +240pips
S63, 30 winners, 14 losers, +180 pips (seriously considering doubling position on that one )
S91, 12 winners, 12 losers, +120 pips
total pips for the week: +680 (week's low: 8512, high 9016 = +404)
average per day: +136, to be taken with a grain of salt:
Monday: +10, MaxDrawdown: -50, MaxProfit: +65 --> 55pips given back
Tuesday: +135, MaxDD: 0 (lowest: +10), MaxP: +145 --> 10pips given back
Wednesday: +240, MaxDD: -20 , MaxP: +240 --> 0 pips given back
Thursday: +140, MaxDD: -60, MaxP: +225 --> 85 pips given back
Friday: +155, MaxDD: 0 (lowest: +20), MaxP: +235 --> 80 pips given back
PPS: Will get me a broker in due time with 3 pips spread, above are 153pips (1 pip spread diff.) going to the broker instead of into my pockets.