Im no expert (I believe there are none in this business), but I think I can see how it works:-
1) Make general comments about levels/direction/time periods.
2) Call tops and bottoms in hindsight.
3) Post the positions and profits one wishes one had.
4) Draw attention to step 1 and call yourself an expert.
The only risk to the system is from folks with enough experience to call you out which would require:-
5) Blanket posting of steps 1-4.
6) Biblical length rebuttals and insults to any challenger.
The only thing I dont really get is why folks waste their time on you. But youre not the first to come through here with the above, no doubt wont be the last.
My 2c
Hi Darktone
Thank you for having a go at trying to work out why my making a profit every day works and why - although not unique - is one way to actually beat the forex market.
The main - key requirements are not quite how you have explained them - as I don't think you way would end up making money from trading ;-) - but what they comprise of is as follows -
1. You need to be able to have a window of ideally 4 to 8hrs - (10hrs max) to be able to trade all of the European Session - or at least the first half of the US session.
2. It is most important to have tight stops - not in hard sense ( too risky) but based on prices you can get out of on a one click basis - ideally within 5 or 7 pips maximum away from entries.
3. You must be able to "babysit" the scalp entry - until it as at least got to a "free trade" position - or you have taken 70% of the stake off in a profit over 5 pips.
4. It is essential you multi intraday trade. Thats the important part. If you are lucky - a bit like this morning -
Two quotes today from approx 7.15am this morning - went out 5 mins or so later if i remember correctly and the other one after GU news at 9.45am
Its now 11.06 am UK time and GU at 6292 - ie and well over 70 - 80 or even 90 pips above were I told traders to scalp buy from and EU - Ok hold over 87 and price made 3613 - so lets say you exited say 10 pips lower - if your not a scalper so you are looking at 15 - 20 pips there - being very conservative.
Total on just those 2 - shall we say 80 pips being very cautious - or if you understand and can read PA - you would have made over 100 pips in last 3 hours.
Not bad for a trader who has the balls to say what he will be doing it type on a blog everyday - but all the old T2W traders think I am just playing - talking BS and of course have no trading skills at all
I therefore must copy a few like this one today and keep repeating until they eventually have to eat their words ;-))
What a laugh - it is funny
Then you might only have to make 2 or 3 trades and within a few hours you have hit your target.
However if you have say 3 bad calls on the run - or lets say 5 bad scalps - ( no way do you allow price to get against you the full 5 pips on each of the 5 bad trades ) - then you will end up taking 10 or even 13 calls in the day to make a profit - ie
5 bad calls at average 4 pips down - minus 20 pips
8 good calls at an average 7+ pips profit = 56 pips positive
Net result on 13 calls - 36 pips
5. I am sure you have all heard of probability theory and the law of averages. They play a part in this method. Believe me - i have had days of under 8 trades and made over 200 pips - and then I have had other days whereby I have had to make 17 calls to make just over 50 pips - my normal daily target.
6. Next important part - "free trades" - ie taking approx 70% off a profitable scalp call at ideally 10 or more pips and then leaving 30% stake on with the hard stop in profit . This is the clever part of trading ;-)
With free trades you can leave and ignore if you wanted - they dont have to be "babysat" - but if you are keen on making money you might oversee hourly or at least every few hrs.
The most free trades I have had on at the same time is 5 - there is no additional risks etc - as a profit is already locked in the stop - so even if all free trades get stopped - you still make profit ;-)
7. PA and time windows - this is the bit which lets down 80% of all retail traders - it takes years of time and study to read price in the "noise" or at the "coalface".
Even then after 1000's of live trades - you will have good weeks of over 80% accuracy or win ratios and then other weeks you will struggle at 65-70% win ratio
If you have weeks under 55% on over 50 trades - then you have not met the standard - ie you are not quite there - ie you are not experienced enough - your not focused enough - or too put it simply - you don't meet the requirement or standard needed to apply this method
Go back to the drawing board and spend another 1000 live hrs watching a pair on a tick or 1 / 3 minute time frame
That's my method in a nutshell - its not simple - because trading to make money is just not simple - it's blooming difficult day in day out ;-)
See nothing to sell and quite happy to share with others - knowing only approx under 20% of all retail traders would be able to carry it out - and even then the real difficult part is maintaining the disciplines and focus every day you trade ;-)
Its just one way - it works for me because it blooming well should do after 6 yrs full time and over 13000+ live trades
Hope that helps and explains a few things to the T2W old timers etc.
Pull it apart if you can - and then join me on the thread one day for a few hours and watch it work ;-)
OK - must go an answer Dino next - he must think I make millions per year trading and I have already told everybody I hit my financial wall on my own money years ago and just cannot hack it over 22 full lots per pip - see I am human - i do have weaknesses - but luckily only a few ;-))
Regards
F