FXTechstrategy Team: Forex Analysis

What does January holds for EURUSD having continued to hold its medium term downtrend


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Daily Technical Strategist On AUDUSD

AUDUSD: Faces Further Recovery Risk

AUDUSD: With AUDUSD strengthening on Tuesday, we expect more recovery to occur. On the downside, support resides at the 0.7700 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7650 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7600 level with a cut through targeting further downside towards the 0.7550 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.7800 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7850 level and then the 0.7900 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7950 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its broader downtrend pressure.

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Bullish On Correction

GBPUSD: With GBP strengthening on Wednesday, further bullishness is likely in the days ahead. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5400 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5350 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5300 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5250 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1.5450 level with a break aiming at the 1.5500 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5550 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5600 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its corrective recovery threats.

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURJPY

EURJPY: Vulnerable

EURJPY- With the cross remaining weak and vulnerable to the downside, risk continues to point lower. On the upside, resistance resides at the 136.68 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 137.50. Further out, resistance resides at the 138.00 level where a break will aim at the 139.00. On the downside, support comes in the 135.55 level where a break will aim at the 135.00 level. A break will target the 134.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 133.00 level. All in all, the cross continues to face upside pressure on recovery

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The Week Ahead On USDCHF

USDCHF: Loses Upside Momentum, Risk Turns Lower

USDCHF: With USDCHF closing on a hammer candle print the past week, it faces the risk of a move lower in the new week. This development leaves the pair targeting the 0.9300 level where a break will set the stage for a move lower towards the 0.9250 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9200 level and then the 0.9150 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9450 level where a break will aim at the 0.9534 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9600 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push towards the 0.9650 level. All in all, the pair remains broadly biased to the downside medium term though seen recovering recent weeks.

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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Bear Pressure Remains

EURUSD: We continue to envisage a decline having EUR closed almost flat the past week. Support is seen at 1.1278 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1200 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1150 level where a break will expose the 1.1100 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1450 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1533 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1600 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1650 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1700 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term though facing a recovery higher nearer term.

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Daily Technical Strategist On USDCAD

USDCAD: Bullish, Follows Through On Strength

USDCAD: Having halted its correction to close higher the past week, it faces the risk of a move higher. It was seen following through higher on the back of its Friday gain during Monday trading session today. However, as long as it trades below the 1.2696 level, corrective pullback risk is not over. On the downside, support lies at the 1.2550 level followed by the 1.2500 level. Further down, support resides at the 1.2450 level and then the 1.2400 level. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 1.2650 level followed by the 1.2696 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2750 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further recovery is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.2800 level. All in all, USDCAD continues to face bullish offensive medium term

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPJPY

GBPJPY: Bullish, Strengthens Further

GBPJPY: The cross is seen following through higher on the back of its Monday gains suggesting further bullishness in the days ahead. On the upside, resistance lies at the 185.00 level followed by the 186.00 level where a break will aim at the 187.00 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 187.00 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 184.00 level where a violation will aim at the 183.00 level. A break below here will target the 182.00 level followed by the 181.00 level. Further down, support lies at the 180.00 level. All in all, the cross remains biased to the upside short term.

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Daily Technical Strategist On AUDUSD

AUDUSD: Bullish, Extends Strength

AUDUSD: With AUDUSD following through higher on the back of its Tuesday gains during Wednesday trading session, further price extension is envisaged. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.7950 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.8000 level and then the 0.8050 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.8100 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support resides at the 0.7850 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7800 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7750 level with a cut through targeting further downside towards the 0.7700 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its corrective upside pressure.

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Maintains Bullish Offensive

GBPUSD: Having continued to remain bullish, more recovery is expected. Resistance resides at the 1.5600 level with a break aiming at the 1.5650 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5700 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5750 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5500 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5450 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5400 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5350 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its broader downside bias medium term though recovering.

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Commodity Technical Outlook On GOLD

GOLD: Bullish, Extends Corrective Recovery.

GOLD: With GOLD recovering strongly on Thursday, further strength is envisaged in the days ahead. On further upside, resistance resides at the 1,230.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,250.00 level, its key psycho level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1,280.00 level followed by the 1,300.00 level. A cut through this level will extend gains towards the 1,320.00 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,200 level where a break will aim at the 1,180.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,160.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,140.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the upside on corrective recovery.

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Declines On Sell Off

EURUSD: With EUR triggering a strong sell-off on Thursday, further downside pressure is envisaged. Support is seen at 1.1100 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1050 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1000 level where a break will expose the 1.0950 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1250 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1300 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1378 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1400 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1450 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term though facing a recovery higher nearer term.

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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Risk Builds On 1.1096 Level

EURUSD: With EUR breaking down out of its consolidation range to close lower the past week, risk now builds on its key support located at 1.1096 level. We expect that level to give in for the pair resume its broader downside pressure. However, this might not happen first test. Support is seen at 1.1100 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1050 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1000 level where a break will expose the 1.0950 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1250 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1300 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1400 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1450 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1500 level.

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Commodity Technical Outlook On GOLD

GOLD: Risk Remains Lower Despite Recovery Attempts

GOLD: Although a marginal higher close occurred the past week, GOLD continues to retain its broader downside pressure. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1,219.98 level where a break will aim at the 1,230.00 level, its key psycho level. A violation of here will turn attention to the 1,250.00 level followed by the 1,180.00 level. A cut through this level will extend gains towards the 1,300.00 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,200 level where a break will aim at the 1,180.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,160.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,140.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the upside on corrective recovery.

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Daily Technical Strategist On USDJPY

USDJPY: Vulnerable Below The 120.47 Level

USDJPY: Despite the pair’s marginal higher close the past week, it still faces bear risk while holding below the 120.47 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 118.62 level where a break will target the 118.00 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 117.00 level followed by the 116.00 and then the 115.00. On the upside, resistance resides at the 120.47 level. Below here will aim at the 121.00 level where a break will target the 122.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 123.00 level where a violation will aim at the 124.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside medium term but faces bear threats.

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Special Focus On USDCAD

USDCAD: Caps Strength, Turns Lower

USDCAD: Having capped its strength at 1.2442 level to turn lower during Tuesday trading session, further downside pressure is envisaged. On the downside, support lies at the 1.2400 level followed by the 1.2350 level. Further out, support resides at the 1.2300 level and then the 1.2250 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 1.2500 level followed by the 1.2550 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2600 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further recovery is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.2650 level. All in all, USDCAD faces further downside pressure.

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Weakens, Eyes Key Support

EURUSD: With seen weakening, further decline towards its key support the 1.1096 level is expected. Support is seen at 1.1050 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1000 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0950 level where a break will expose the 1.0900 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1200 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1250 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1300 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1378 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1450 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

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Daily Technical Strategist on USDJPY

USDJPY: Recovering With Caution

USDJPY: Broader outlook for USDJPY may be higher in the medium term but faces consolidation to downside threats in the short term. While the 120.47/81 zone caps, our bias remains lower. On the downside, support comes in at the 119.50 level where a break will target the 118.00 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 117.00 level followed by the 116.00 and then the 115.00. On the upside, resistance resides at the 120.00 level. Below here will aim at the 121.00 level where a break will target the 122.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 123.00 level where a violation will aim at the 124.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside medium term but faces bear threats.

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The Week Ahead On USDCHF

USDCHF: Biased To Upside On Bullish Offensive

USDCHF: With USDCHF strengthening further the past week, further bullish build up is envisaged. its gains on Tuesday, further bullishness is envisaged. Resistance resides at the 0.9900 level with a breach targeting the 0.9950 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 1.0000 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9800 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9750 level and then the 0.9700 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside in the short term.

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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Resumes Broader Weakness

EURUSD: With EUR breaking down through its key support located at the 1.1096 level the past week, further downside pressure is envisaged. However, we a think a recovery higher on the back of its recent weakness should occur in the new week. Support is seen at 1.0750 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.0700 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0650 level where a break will expose the 1.0600 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.0900 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0950 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1000 level, its psycho level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1050 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1100 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term with eyes on key support.

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPJPY

GBPJPY: Recovers Higher On Correction

GBPJPY: The cross has triggered a recovery following its past week declines. This development leaves GBPJPY targeting further upside in the days ahead. On the downside, support comes in at the 182.00 level where a violation will aim at the 181.00 level. A break below here will target the 180.00 level followed by the 179.00 level. Further down, support lies at the 178.00 level. Conversely, on the upside, resistance lies at the 183.00 level followed by the 184.00 level where a break will aim at the 185.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 186.00 level. Its daily RSI is turning higher supporting this view. All in all, the cross remains biased to the upside on corrective recovery

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