FXTechstrategy Team: Forex Analysis

What does January holds for EURUSD having continued to hold its medium term downtrend


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Daily Technical Strategist On USDJPY

USDJPY: Faces Price Consolidation

USDJPY: With USDJPY still facing consolidation price action, a directional move is now on hold. On the downside, support comes in at the 117.00 level where a break will target the 116.50 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 116.00 level followed by the 115.00 and then the 114.00. On the upside, resistance resides at the 119.00 level followed by the 120.00 level where a break will target the 121.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 122.00 level where a violation will aim at the 123.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside in the medium term

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Declines Further, Remains Vulnerable

GBPUSD: With GBP extending its weakness on Thursday, further downside pressure is likely. On the downside, support lies at the 1.4950 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.4900 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.4850 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.4800 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1.5150 level with a break aiming at the 1.5200 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5250 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5300 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its broader downside bias medium term.

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The Week Ahead On USDCHF

USDCHF: Remains On The Offensive

USDCHF: With a second week of strength seeing further bullishness the past week, additional bull pressure is envisaged. However, watch out for a pullback following its two-week run to the upside. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9250 level where a break will aim at the 0.9300 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9350 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if that level is taken out, expect a push further higher towards the 0.9400 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9150 level with a break targeting the 0.9100 level and then the 0.0950 level. Further down, support is located at the 0.9000 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside medium term despite its recovery.

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Commodity Technical Outlook On GOLD

GOLD: Risk Continues To Point Higher

GOLD: With GOLD continuing to maintain its bullish risk, more strength is envisaged in the new week. Despite its marginal loss the past week, our upside view on the commodity remains intact. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,260.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,240.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,220.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,200.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,300.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,320.00 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1,350.00 level followed by the 1,380.00 level. A cut through here will extend gains towards the 1,400.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the upside on correction.

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Daily Technical Strategist On USDJPY

USDJPY: Recovers, Eyes More Strength

USDJPY: With USDJPY bouncing off lower level prices to strengthen on Tuesday, it now faces further upside pressure. However, the pair will have to break and hold above the 118.86 level to prevent a return to the downside. On the downside, support comes in at the 117.00 level where a break will target the 116.50 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 116.00 level followed by the 115.00 and then the 114.00. On the upside, resistance resides at the 119.00 level followed by the 120.00 level where a break will target the 121.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 122.00 level where a violation will aim at the 123.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside in the medium term

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Bullish, Eyes Further Upside.

GBPUSD: Having maintained its bullish offensive, GBP faces the risk of further strength currently underway. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.5300 level with a break aiming at the 1.5350 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5400 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5450 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Conversely, support lies at the 1.5150 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5100 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5050 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5000 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its recovery threats.

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Daily Technical Strategist On AUDUSD

AUDUSD: Faces Recovery Risk

AUDUSD: With AUDUSD threatening further corrective recovery, bull pressure is envisaged. On the downside, support resides at the 0.7750 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7700 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7650 level with a cut through targeting further downside towards the 0.7600 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.7850 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7900 level and then the 0.7950 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.8000 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its broader downtrend pressure but faces a correction.

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Builds Up Upside Momentum

EURUSD: With EUR reversing its Wednesday losses on Thursday, further upside pressure is envisaged. Support is seen at 1.1400 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1350 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1300 level where a break will expose the 1.1250 level. Its daily RSI has turned higher supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1500 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1550 level where a break will aim at the 1.1600 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.1650 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1700 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term but faces recovery threat.

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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Faces Downside Pressure

EURUSD: With EUR closing marginally lower on a price rejection candle formation, further downside pressure is envisaged. Support is seen at 1.1250 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1200 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1150 level where a break will expose the 1.1110 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1350 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1300 level where a break will aim at the 1.1400 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.1450 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1500 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term though facing a recovery higher nearer term.

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Commodity Technical Outlook On GOLD

GOLD: Remains Vulnerable With Caution

GOLD: With a second week of downside pressure occurring the past week, further downside pressure is likely. Except it returns above the 1,285/1,300 levels, downside threat remains. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,200.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,180.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,160.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,140.00 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,25se40.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,320.00 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1,350.00 level followed by the 1,380.00 level. A cut through here will extend gains towards the 1,400.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the downside on price failure

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Weak And Vulnerable

GBPUSD: With GBP now seen following through on the back of its Friday weakness, further decline is envisaged. This development leaves it targeting further downside but with caution. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5150 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5100 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5050 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5000 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1.5300 level with a break aiming at the 1.5350 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5400 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5450 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its broader downside bias medium term but faces corrective risk

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Daily Technical Strategist On AUDUSD

AUDUSD: Develops Recovery Threats

AUDUSD: AUDUSD continues to trace out a bottom as a platform for its impending correction. On the downside, support resides at the 0.7750 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7700 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7650 level with a cut through targeting further downside towards the 0.7600 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.7850 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7900 level and then the 0.7950 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.8000 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its broader downtrend pressure but faces a corrective recovery threats in the nearer term

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Special Focus On USDCAD

USDCAD: Vulnerable On Correction

USDCAD: Despite its Friday strength, its correction triggered off the 1.2798 level has not ended. On the downside, support lies at the 1.2400 level followed by the 1.2350 level. Further out, support resides at the 1.2300 level and then the 1.2250 level. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 1.2500 level followed by the 1.2550 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2600 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further recovery is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.2650 level. All in all, USDCAD continues to face bullish offensive medium term though correcting

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Vulnerable On Price Hesitation.

EURUSD: Although EUR is facing price hesitation, it still faces downside threats. outlook on EUR remains biased to the downside though hesitating. Support is seen at 1.1250 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1200 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1150 level where a break will expose the 1.1100 level. Its daily RSI has turned lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1400 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1450 level where a break will aim at the 1.1500 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.1550 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1600 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

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Daily Technical Strategist On USDCAD

USDCAD: Triggers Corrective Pullback.

USDCAD: With USDCAD triggering a corrective pullback, it now faces further downside pressure in the days ahead. On the downside, support lies at the 1.2500 level followed by the 1.2450 level. Further out, support resides at the 1.2400 level and then the 1.2350 level. Its daily RSI has turned lower supporting its corrective view. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 1.2600 level followed by the 1.2650 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2700 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further recovery is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.2750 level. All in all, USDCAD continues to face bullish offensive medium term but now faces a correction lower.

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURJPY

EURJPY: Weakens, Vulnerable

EURJPY- Having activated a corrective pullback on Thursday, more decline is expected but with caution. On the downside, support comes in the 135.00 level where a break will aim at the 134.00 level. A break will target the 133.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 132.00 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 137.00 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 138.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 139.00 level where a break will aim at the 140.00. All in all, the cross continues to face corrective pullback threats risk.

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The Week Ahead On USDCHF

USDCHF: Corrective Pullback Risk Envisaged

USDCHF: Despite its past week attempts on upside, it still faces corrective pullback risk. This view remains valid as long as USDCHF holds below the 0.9344 level. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9250 level with a break targeting the 0.9200 level and then the 0.9150 level. Further down, support comes in at the 0.9100 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9344 level where a break will aim at the 0.9400 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9450 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push towards the 0.9500 level. All in all, the pair remains broadly biased to the downside medium term.

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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Vulnerable Below The 1.1533 Level

EURUSD: While EUR may have closed higher the past week, it still faces its broader downside pressure as long as it trades below the 1.1533 level. Support is seen at 1.1300 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1269 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1200 level where a break will expose the 1.1150 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1450 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1533 level where a break will aim at the 1.1600 level, its psycho level. A turn below here will aim at the 1.1650 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1700 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term though facing a recovery higher nearer term .

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Commodity Technical Outlook On GOLD

GOLD: Bearish, Remains Vulnerable

GOLD: GOLD may have closed marginally lower the past week but it continues to hold on to its broader downside pressure medium term. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,216.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,200.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,180.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,160.00 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,240.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,320.00 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1,350.00 level followed by the 1,380.00 level. A cut through here will extend gains towards the 1,400.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the downside on price failure

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPJPY

GBPJPY: Faces Downside Pressure.

GBPJPY: The cross strengthened further the past week and followed through lower on Monday. On the downside, support comes in at the 181.00 level where a violation will aim at the 180.00 level. A break below here will target the 179.00 level followed by the 178.00 level. Further down, support lies at the 177.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 183.00 level followed by the 184.00 level where a break will aim at the 185.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 186.00 level. All in all, the cross remains biased to the downside in the short term.

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