FXTechstrategy Team: Forex Analysis

[FXTechstrategy Team]

EURUSD: Pulls Back With Caution.

EURUSD: While EUR may have turned lower to halt its upside offensive, it will have to follow trough lower to convince the market of further decline. However, if this fails to occur, a return above the 1.3811/31 levels cannot be ruled out. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.3900 level where a break will aim at the 1.4000 level. Price hesitation may occur here but if violated it will target the 1.4100 level. Conversely, support lies at the 1.3600 level with a break turning focus to the 1.3500 level and possibly lower towards the 1.3400 level. We may see bulls come in here and turn the pair higher but further decline if seen will push the pair towards the 1.3400 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the upside in the medium despite price halt.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

USDJPY: Bullish, Risk Builds On The 104.62 Level.

USDJPY: With USDJPY halting its one-day pullback and closing higher for a second day in a row on Tuesday, a build on strength is expected on market resumption. In such a case, the 104.62 level. A violation of here will aim at the 105. towards the out the 103.91 level to resume its medium term bullishness, further upside offensive is likely. Resistance resides at the 104.50 level where a breach will aim at the 105.00 level and possibly higher towards the 105.50 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Conversely, on the downside, support comes in at the 103.73 level where a violation will turn attention to the 103.00 level and then the 102.50 level. Further down, support lies at the 101.61 level followed by the 101.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

GBPUSD: Bullish With Eyes On The 1.6483 Level.

GBPUSD: With continued upside risk seen, GBP looks to eventually retake the 1.6483 level, representing its Dec 2013 high. As long as it trades and holds above the 1.6259 level, its broader bias remains higher in the medium term. Resistance resides at the 1.6483 level with a breach of here turning attention to the 1.6550 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.6600 level with a turn above here paving the way for a run at the 1.6650 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Conversely, support lies at the 1.6249 level where a breach will aim at the 1.6200 level. Further down, support resides at the 1.6058 level where a breach will push it further lower towards the 1.5950 level followed by the 1.5853 level. A cut through here will aim at the 1.5800 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its medium term upside bias.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

USDCHF: Sells Off, Pressure Builds On The 0.8831 Level.

USDCHF: With USDCHF selling off strongly during Friday’s trading session, the risk is for continued weakness to occur towards the 0.8831/00 levels. Bulls may come in here and turn the pair higher but if that level is broken anticipate further decline to occur towards the 0.8750 level. Further down, support comes in at the 0.8700 level where a violation will aim at the 0.8650 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further downside. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.8922 level where a reversal of roles as resistance is likely. However, a breach if seen will expose the 0.9000 level followed by the 0.9050 level and then the 0.9100 level. Further out, resistance lies at the 0.9190 level followed by the 0.9249 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

EURUSD: Broader Bias Remains To The Upside.

EURUSD: EUR continues to maintain its broader medium term uptrend following a higher close the past week. Though backing off higher prices and closing below the 1.3831 level, the mentioned uptrend remains intact. However, the challenge is for the pair to retake the 1.3893 level where a break will pave the way for a push towards the 1.3950 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.4000 level, its big resistance level and then the 1.4050 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the other hand, support lies at the 1.3700 level with a breach setting the stage for a run at the 1.3624 level and then the 1.3550 level. We may see the bulls come in here and push the pair higher. However, if this fails to occur, expect further downside to occur towards the 1.3500 level. All in all, EUR continues to retain its broader upside bias in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

GBPUSD: Bullish, Heads Further Higher On Strength.

GBPUSD: Having continued to maintain its bullishness, the challenge is for the pair to retake the 1.6577 level, its Dec 2013 high. This if seen will push GBP further higher towards the 1.6614 level, representing its Aug 14 2011 high where a break will pave the way for a run at the 1.6650 level, its psych level. On further price extension, the pair will aim at the 1.6700 level where a violation will turn attention to the 1.6743 level, its April 24 2011 high and possibly higher towards the 1.6800 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. Conversely, support lies at the 1.6459 level where a breach will expose the 1.6404 level, its Dec 27 2013 low. Further down, support resides at the 1.6321 level, its Dec 24 2013 low where a breach will push it further lower towards the 1.6259 level, its Oct 01 2013 high. Price cap is expected here if tested. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its medium term bullish bias.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

AUDUSD: Bullish, Resumes Corrective Recovery.

AUDUSD: With AUDUSD rallying through the 0.8957 level, its Dec 23 2013 high to resume its corrective recovery, there is risk of continued upside in the days ahead. This development leaves further bull pressure towards the 0.9050 level, its psycho level where a violation will aim at the 0.9082/0.9100 levels. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9166 level, its Dec 10 2013 low. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Conversely, support comes in at the 0.8957 level, its Dec 23 2013 high where a reversal of roles is expected to occur and turn the pair higher. However, if this level fails to hold, expect further decline to occur towards the 0.8884 level followed by the 0.8850 level and finally, the 0.8800 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside on recovery.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

EURUSD: Bearish, Sells Off On Loss Of Upside Momentum

EURUSD: With EUR reversing its previous week gains to close lower on sell off, there is risk of continued weakness in the new week. While the pair holds below the 1.3624 level, further decline cannot be avoided. Further down, support stands at the 1.3600 level with a break turning focus to the 1.3500 level and possibly lower towards the 1.3400 level. We may see bulls come in here and turn the pair higher. On the upside, for EUR to annul its present weakness and resume its broader medium term uptrend, it will have to recapture the 1.3893 level, its Dec 2013 high. This if seen will call for a run at the 1.3950 level and then its big psycho level at the 1.4000 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside on corrective pullbacks.

 

[robert11]

gbp jpy

On the H4 TF, we are observing a reversal by having a bearish divergence happened. As

it continues, we are expecting to see a drop to 169.00 area if the supply pressure rises.

http://pcm-fx.com/forums/forumdisplay.php/91-Analysis-By-Our-Specialist

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

CRUDE OIL: Continued Bearishness Exposes The 92.10 Level.

CRUDE OIL: The commodity continues to sell off declining further today on the back of the past week losses. This development has exposed its immediate support located at the 93.00 level where a violation will turn focus to the 92.10 level, its Dec 27’2013 low. Further down, support comes in at the 91.00 level where a break will target the 90.00 level, its big psycho level. The bulls may come in here and push the commodity back up. However, if that fails to occur expect Crude Oil to weaken further. In such a case, the 89.00 level will be aimed at. Its daily and weekly RSI are bearish and pointing lower supporting its bearish tone. Conversely, resistance resides at the 94.00 level with a breach of here exposing the 95.00 level and subsequently the 96.00 level. All in all, Crude Oil remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

AUDUSD: Bearish, Eyes The 0.8822 Level.

AUDUSD: We continue to hold our downside outlook on AUDUSD as it remains weak and declining. This development leaves the pair targeting the 0.8822 level, its Dec 19 2013 low where a break will aim at further downside towards the 0.8750 level. Further down, support stands at the 0.8700 level, its big psycho level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.8970 level with a breach targeting the 0.8950 level followed by the 0.9004 level, its Jan 03 2014 low. A cut through here will aim at the 0.9200 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 0.9166 level. All in all, the pair remains bearish in the medium term on further downside pressure.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

USDCAD: Biased To The Upside On Further Price Extension

USDCAD: With the pair maintaining its bullish bias, we look for more upside to occur. This development has exposed the 1.0874 level with a cut through here aiming at the 1.0900 level with a turn above here paving the way for a run at the 1.0950 level and possibly higher towards the 1.1000 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further upside. On the other hand, support comes at the 1.0736 level, representing its Dec 20 2013 high. Further down, downside object resides at the 1.0651 level, its Jan 06’2014 low where a violation will aim at the 1.0600 level and then the 1.0550 level. A reversal of roles is likely to occur here and turn USDCAD higher. All in all, USDCAD continues to face further upside threats on bullishness.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

USDCHF: Loses Upside Momentum, Vulnerable To The Downside.

USDCHF: With USDCHF failing to follow through on the back of its previous week gains at the end of the week, the risk is for further downside threats to occur. This development exposes the 0.8971 level where a break will pave the way for a run at the 0.8900 level followed by the 0.8850 level and subsequently the 0.87.79 level. Below here if seen will set the stage for more decline towards the 0.8700 level. On the other hand, resistance resides at the 0.9126 level, its Jan 08’2013 high where a violation if seen will pave the way for a run at the 0.9191 level, representing its Nov 20 2013 high. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

EURUSD: Bounces Off Rising Trendline, Eyes Further Upside

EURUSD: Having closed higher following a recovery off its rising trendline (red) the past week, there is risk of a follow through higher in the new week. In such a case, resistance resides at the 1.3700 level where a violation will set the stage for a run at the 1.3818 level, its Dec 30 2013 high. A turn above here will set the stage for a move higher towards the 1.3897 level, its Dec 27 2013 high. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside support resides at 1.3548 level, representing the location of its rising trendline. Further down, support lies at the 1.3500 level and possibly lower towards the 1.3400 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the upside I the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

AUDUSD: Strengthens, Eyes Further Upside.

AUDUSD: With AUDUSD bullish and recovering higher taking out the 0.9004 level, its Jan 03’2013 high, further strength is expected in the days ahead. Immediate resistance comes in at the 0.9050 level with a cut through here paving the way for a run at the 0.9100 level, its psycho level. A violation of here if seen will target the 0.9166 level, its Dec 10 2013 high. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9200 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Alternatively, on pullback, support comes in at the 0.9004 level the 0.8900 level, its psycho level where a reversal of roles is expected to occur and turn the pair higher. However, if this level fails to hold, expect further decline to occur towards the 0.8824 level and subsequently the 0.8800 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside on recovery.

 

[ajpipsmaker]

Very well pointed out my friend.
I was surprisingly long from the 0.8950 level, and closed the trade with almost 100 pips gain.
I am not an expert, but I saw a break in the pair, and so I took advantage of it.

The 0.9080 level is a critical resistance level, in my opinion, and the pair might struggle to take it out.
If it does, then the pair might target the 0.9170 level.
Let's see what happens in the coming sessions for the pair.
Cheers!

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

Hi,

Thanks. You are right. It is already testing the 0.9050 level. A failure to break here could force audusd to move lower but if taken out, a push higher towards the 0.9166 level will occur.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team]

EURUSD: Hesitates But Biased To Upside On Recovery

EURUSD: With a second day of recovery occurring on Monday, there is risk of further price extension. This development could force the pair to recapture the 1.3700 level where a violation will mean further upside pressure towards its Jan 02 2014 high at 1.3766 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.3818 level, representing its Dec 30 2013 high. A turn above here will pave the way for the pair to push further higher towards its Dec2013 high at the 1.3893 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the other hand, support comes in at the 1.3571 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.3548 level. We expect a cap to occur here and turn the pair back up but if taken out expect more decline towards the 1.3500 level. We may see the bulls come in here and push the pair higher. All in all, EUR continues to retain its upside bias in the medium term but faces corrective weakness

 

[ajpipsmaker]

I have read on many other places that the 1.3700/10 is very critical resistance for the pair.
Can anyone explain me why this is so important for the pair?
I am looking for an answer.
I am new here and trying to learn few things in the Forex world.

I am sorry if I am hijacking the thread.
Regards,
Ajpipsmaker

 

[robertofx]

Hi,

Thanks. You are right. It is already testing the 0.9050 level. A failure to break here could force audusd to move lower but if taken out, a push higher towards the 0.9166 level will occur.

Back to the previous support level. No idea where to from here. But probably pair will try to move North