Splasher,
I try not to have a view. However, I'll admit that I've felt it's been overvalued for a few months now. I don't analyse. That stance wouldn't have done me any good
I look for opportunities rather than position taking. I'm just as comfortable being short as long, so long as it moves. It's under pressure at the moment but I doubt it'll be a sustained move (famous last words). Looks to me that it got itself too long for no apparent reason. People do love to buy a market Continuous friendly sentiment. No bad news about. It's got top heavy so we're having a shake out.
I try not to have a view. However, I'll admit that I've felt it's been overvalued for a few months now. I don't analyse. That stance wouldn't have done me any good
I look for opportunities rather than position taking. I'm just as comfortable being short as long, so long as it moves. It's under pressure at the moment but I doubt it'll be a sustained move (famous last words). Looks to me that it got itself too long for no apparent reason. People do love to buy a market Continuous friendly sentiment. No bad news about. It's got top heavy so we're having a shake out.
peterpr
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Feeling somewhat chastened with a residual long still open I was trawling around the US sites when I came across this. Another scary one.
http://www.safehaven.com/article-1690.htm
It was posted on 28th June and gets the post FOMC announcement market spot on. Right now I rather wish I'd read it a couple of days ago. Might have made me a little less impetuous.
http://www.safehaven.com/article-1690.htm
It was posted on 28th June and gets the post FOMC announcement market spot on. Right now I rather wish I'd read it a couple of days ago. Might have made me a little less impetuous.
Good morning All,
Comments refer to the EOD chart attached.
15 days down from Apr 23 high to Apr 30 low = 111 points
Move down from June 28 high to yesterdays low 110 points thus far.
Biggest retracement since the low that started the sideways ( bearish flag? ) move on May17.
A couple of scenarios in Green and Pink from yesterdays low.
Intra day yesterday looks like it has capitulated and a retest of the break down levels are on the cards. Any short fall of these levels will add to the downward momentum should that eventuate next week.
have a good day & weekend.
Regards,
KJH
Comments refer to the EOD chart attached.
15 days down from Apr 23 high to Apr 30 low = 111 points
Move down from June 28 high to yesterdays low 110 points thus far.
Biggest retracement since the low that started the sideways ( bearish flag? ) move on May17.
A couple of scenarios in Green and Pink from yesterdays low.
Intra day yesterday looks like it has capitulated and a retest of the break down levels are on the cards. Any short fall of these levels will add to the downward momentum should that eventuate next week.
have a good day & weekend.
Regards,
KJH
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SoupDragon
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Morning KJH
Last night I had worked out the same down move as you from 4601 and got a target of 4298.
Cannot show chart because I worked on a hard copy by hand.
Recently I have been concentrating on the short term intraday stuff and did not look at the bigger picture.
Furtunately I have been flat over the last few days,but almost went long yesterday ,but by good fortune,I was out doing some shopping.
Regards
Regards
Last night I had worked out the same down move as you from 4601 and got a target of 4298.
Cannot show chart because I worked on a hard copy by hand.
Recently I have been concentrating on the short term intraday stuff and did not look at the bigger picture.
Furtunately I have been flat over the last few days,but almost went long yesterday ,but by good fortune,I was out doing some shopping.
Regards
Regards
Sure is ......and the lower T/L also,SoupDragon said:
(you know the one I'm thinking of.....!)
Fluke,
That 4296-8 level is certainly on the cards. I'd expect it to be broken if the market is going to move up from there longer term. Just to prove it is support and take out any remaining stops.
KJH
SoupDragon
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I do indeed
Am I the only one to see a diamond top in the process of forming on the daily chart? If it breaks the current uptrend any day so it gives a minimum downside target of 4100, which is also the 38% retracement of the rally from March 2003. The last time I saw one of these was during 1999 on the FTSE100, although it was on a larger and longer time scale..
The other horizontal lines are levels where I have written strangles in recent months.
The other horizontal lines are levels where I have written strangles in recent months.
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SoupDragon
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not alone Hooya posted something similar on here on 17th
notice how it is slightly different expecting it to be more drawn out..and more symmetrical. So we have loads of possibilities but first we must sort out this oversold nature next week.
http://www.tacticaltrader.com/download.php?id=2381
Hooya posted something similar on here on 17thnotice how it is slightly different expecting it to be more drawn out..and more symmetrical. So we have loads of possibilities but first we must sort out this oversold nature next week.
http://www.tacticaltrader.com/download.php?id=2381
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