catfish911
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I had a no trade today on Alpari UK, as one parameter was exceeding stated level per rules. Let's get set for tomorrow!
As an experiment, I was looking at setting a reversal trade order, in the opposite direction of the FMT trade, at say 1 pip below below FMT trade's SL. I use TP37/SL48, so if FMT gave me a Buy at 16048, I'd open that trade with TP 16085 and SL 16000, and also an order to open a Sell at 15999, with it's own TP/SL (I was experimenting at TP35/SL29). On the basis that when the FMT signal trade goes wrong, it often goes around 90 to 100 pips wrong at least, so I'd hope to scoop back some of the loss from hitting SL on the original order. Kind of an insurance policy, but like all policies there would be a cost, if the FMT order hit SL, opened the reversal trade and this then reversed back to SL... Initial review from data in quarter 1 2011 shows me this should have a win rate at about 66%, ie two wins to every one loss, which at TP35/SL29 should give me a net gain per 3 reversal trades opening of 41 pips. I'll look over a longer period to get a better feel for a good general setting to use, maybe open > 10 pips from FMT SL and lower TP/SL, I'm looking for those 'landslide' reversals and not just those horrorid trades that ping to the stop and then go the direction they should have... don't know if anyone else has looked at doing this?
As an experiment, I was looking at setting a reversal trade order, in the opposite direction of the FMT trade, at say 1 pip below below FMT trade's SL. I use TP37/SL48, so if FMT gave me a Buy at 16048, I'd open that trade with TP 16085 and SL 16000, and also an order to open a Sell at 15999, with it's own TP/SL (I was experimenting at TP35/SL29). On the basis that when the FMT signal trade goes wrong, it often goes around 90 to 100 pips wrong at least, so I'd hope to scoop back some of the loss from hitting SL on the original order. Kind of an insurance policy, but like all policies there would be a cost, if the FMT order hit SL, opened the reversal trade and this then reversed back to SL... Initial review from data in quarter 1 2011 shows me this should have a win rate at about 66%, ie two wins to every one loss, which at TP35/SL29 should give me a net gain per 3 reversal trades opening of 41 pips. I'll look over a longer period to get a better feel for a good general setting to use, maybe open > 10 pips from FMT SL and lower TP/SL, I'm looking for those 'landslide' reversals and not just those horrorid trades that ping to the stop and then go the direction they should have... don't know if anyone else has looked at doing this?
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