I am making an assumption that most traders on this site involved in trading FX do so using technical analysis and charts and that they do so on fairly small timeframes, perhaps even smaller than the hourly. I’m also assuming that the majority are doing vanilla directional plays: buy, sell higher (or sell, buy lower) rather than anything more complex involving derivatives, futures or options etc. Straight directionals using spot FX on an intraday basis. I am also allowing for the fact that the person starting this thread probably has an undisclosed agenda and is in some way connected with either a signals service or some kind of software for traders, but as some new traders may chance across this thread, I thought it might be useful to actually answer the question posed.
It is Wednesday, March 6th 2013. Take a look at audjpy chart on any sub-hourly timeframe. Not the 1 or 5 minute as they are just noise, but anything from the 15 minute to 1 hour charts will do. Is there any point in time today that you could have looked at any of those charts and not noticed the price was moving up, rather clearly? You could have jumped on at any point and got off at any point and you would have been unlucky not to have made money in the process. Same with euraud pair, you’d be selling rather than buying to pen, but essentially it’s still obvious what to do. Contrast that with a chart of eurcad. Flat, fuzzy, spikey, tight, awful. You wouldn’t have traded that.
The first and last question you ask yourself when you look at a chart is: Do I like the look of the action? If you don’t, if it’s not blindingly obvious what you should do, you move on, or sit out if there are no current opportunities.
What about audusd. Not quite so done and dusted is it. You might have been tempted into any one of two or three moves depending on your timeframe chosen and you’d likely have been taken out on at least one, but only for your stop which is placed at a logical support/resistance level and from where you entered your position at such a level that made the pips risked a viable trade in relation to the likely legs on the move given the pair in question and its recent price action. This losing trade would be more than compensated for by the successful trade(s) of the other leg(s) which you allow to run until they don’t look like they’re going to run much more (lack of new highs/lows on the last few bars for instance or whatever you want to use to establish momentum and intent).
What’s hard about this?