Compare the two.....
JT. I'll give you another little trick.
Try having the candles the same colour. use a 'neutral' colour. ie not 'red' (down) 'blue' (up)
You can go back to colours later.
Hello Options,
Can I ask why you suggested this? I'm a little confused now ...
Thanks,
Chorlton
What having the candles the same colour?
So you don't pre-judge direction.
Using a neutral colour?
Your brain is pre colour coded. At least now it is. blue/green etc up. Red/black etc down.
I've read various posters comments about how they can at times read the price action on a chart, like they could a piece of music.
So. this afternoon, I decided to really eyeball some candlestick charts, from left to right, and see what each candle told me, and how that message related to what followed.
I tried this on a few different instruments and timeframe.
What i have found is that my predictive interpretations of what each candle told me, based on the OHLC, and its relation to the previous and very recent candles, consistently unfolded on the following candles.
This would be extremely useful a skill, to use in real-time, as it would allow you to consistently and successfully, closely track the price action (trend and turns) for any given instrument.
Have a go for yourself. Just select any candlestick chart. Start at the left, and candle by candle work to the right. Think carefully about what each completed candle is telling you about what is happening in terms of the price, through the OHLC levels, and its relation to the OHLC of recently completed candles.
Try drawing up a few strict either/or criteria that must be met, for you to then enter or SAR at the open of the next candle (after a criteria meeting candle closes), that would have consistently allowed you to make a profit.........If this is possible, you are onto a winner!
But if you're going to colour them all the same then surely there is little difference in using them compared to traditional bars?
Well, the candle is supposedly easier to read. The line is even easier to read if you use it as sup and res levels and trade breaks of them. It will only fall down (the line) using this method where the pin bar comes in. And that is a powerful bar.
I always felt one of the reasons why they were so popular was that they could convey price information easier than bars, and one of the main reasons for this was the clear difference in colour.
I posted something on here a few days/weeks back, (can't even remember where now)
about the difference between two charts of the same instrument from 2 different sb providers, both using the same charts. (IT financial. IG and CMC) the last bar on both charts... One showed red, one showed blue. Both entirely different candles as well!
So dependant on which chart you were using...
Price movement that you see on your chart is an illusion. Most indicators that people follow are an illusion. If you are trading by just watching the bars/candles/line on your chart you are trading an illusion that is being fed to you.
The price (Which is the only thing you can trust to trade from), has already moved. (Hence your price blip against you JT) It even says on the chart that prices are indicative.
I am talking very short time frames, on longer ones it is not so apparant, but you do need deeper pockets. (Not for me).
So only price counts.
Having said all that. I do have indicators on my chart, I do have a bottom indicator and my price bars are 2 different colours, But I do not use them as most people would. I do not see them as most people do. Most of the time I don't see them. I trade on price action. That tells me when to enter.
When it all gets a bit too much, I go back to a clean chart. Only price bars.
The holy grail does exist...But you have to find it alone. It will only work for you. It is yours and yours alone.
If someone gave 'The Grail' to you. You would stick it in a cupboard after a few days the first time it had a hiccup and carry on your own way. (This is not to you Chorlton, but to everyone).
No matter what method and what tools you use to trade. Price will point the way.
If you are using an indicator that is right only 60% of the time. Why are you still using it?
Those trades you got in and they went against you straight away. What was your entry criteria?
I bet an indicator of some sort was in play.
You will get hiccups just by using price, but they will get less and less and your entries will get better and better.
However, your reasoning for changing them to a neutral colour is spot-on!!! I agree that we are "pre-conditioned" to see certain things..... Good Point.
The holy grail does exist...But you have to find it alone. It will only work for you. It is yours and yours alone.
hi jt,
hope you'll excuse me for following your lead http://www.trade2win.com/boards/candlesticks/38088-wot-happened-next-revisited.html but i thought what you're doing is great.
good trading
jon