March Set-up for Euro/$ & £/$
Euro:
After sustaining to keep above key support levels in the last week of February, 127 looks immensely likely this week.
Having said that keep an eye on 12330 for a base of consolidation activity. However as key support levels were held this scenario looks less compelling as it was last week.
Monetary policy is unlikely to change anytime soon, the rate differential vs. the U.S would & should remain. Further out the euro should rise towards 1.33 soon.
GBP:
As mentioned on Thursday night, key support level was 185.80. On the other hand the personal lower objective target mentioned was 18488, although this was breached on Friday notice how the GBP bounced back up above key support at 18580 closing to 18634. The chances for a bearish scenario now seem unlikely. The move of March week one seems to indicate a rally towards 190---key resistance.
190 should this time be taken out and 194 area will come into play. Do not rule out a rate rise this coming Thursday as growth expectations are above the norm.
For long term GBP players, Strong buy with targets undoubtedly expected to reach 2.00
Note: As mentioned also before, ‘this dollar index rally will be short-lived’. A close below 87.20 would indicate the end to this short termed rally.
Goodluck :!: