This thread is being very closely observed because of its content.
I have been in close consultation all day with regard to it.
Finally it is unanimously agreed I should make a statement but not in a way that is likely to impair tactics, strategies or to damage edges, or to discuss or reveal methodologies,and wihout going anywhere near timing or entry and exit points.
There are several matters you should consider.
The first is that tight stops are crucial, the tighter they are the better. I am not going to go over the reasons again, since they are perfectly obvious to serious and accomplished traders and obvious to newbies, but by the life of me I cannot understand the reluctance to embrace the principle properly.
Consider an amout of capital availabel for trading, the figure does not matter.
Now consider these two fundamental truths.
Consider that proficient traders get it right many many more times than they get it wrong.
Consider that traders who are not proficient get it wrong more often than they should.
This does not offend anyone does it ? Good.
Because if you consider carefully, it is the efficient traders who are able to recover any losses easily, whereas the inefficient traders have difficulty in recovering losses with such ease.
Therefore it logically follows that for inefficient traders it is more difficult to recover losses.
Now consider the implications for an inefficient trader to have a string of losses using wide stops...
Here is the arithmetic:~
Loss of 10% of capital leaves balance of 90%
To restore that 90% back to 100% needs a return net of 11.11%, so far so good...
Loss of 20% of capital leaves a balance of 80 %
To restore that 80% back to 100% needs a return of 25 %, you see...
Loss of capital of 30% leaves a balance of 70%, agreed ?
T o restore 70% back to 100% now requires a return of 42.85%...not funny is it ?
Loss of capital of 40% leaves a balance of 60% is this not correct now ? Yes.
To restore 60% back to 100% now requires a return of 66.66% ...this is getting to be a real burden
Loss fo capital of 50% leaves a balance of 50%
To restore this 50% back to 100% requires a return of 100%...now this is getting to be a real real challenge for newbies...
Loss of capital ot 60% leaves a balance of 40%
To restore that 40% back to 100% requires a return of 150% This is getting to become a near impossibe mission by this stage....
There is no need to take this excercise in plain arithmetic any further, because if it has not landed by now, it never will.
I am showing you these figures because they are wholly relevant to the problem to which this thread is dedicated.
Wide stops are the cause of spiralling losses. Spiralling losses are the cause of negative emotions.
And conversely, negative emotions and their corrolaries, end up causing losses, by derelicts ending up doing the wrong things.
Negative emotions result in fear. Fear is the cause of not being able to pull the trigger even when the opportunity is clear.
Presentation of clear opportunities further stimulate frustrating feelings at not being able to pull the trigger, or what is worse, to pull the wrong one. As it is newbies who are apt to get it wrong many more times than they get it right, these series of negative outcomes which appear repeatedly causes two main forms of damage.
1. Accumulated losses, allowed to spiral unnecessarily.
2. Psychological damage, more serious, with the risk of if not permanent, at least near permanent damage.
While all this is going on, the proficient traders take small hits and recover very quickly and easily from them.
In parallel, the newbies get more and more desperate, more and more frustrated, and more and more abusive to any suggestion that will constructively bring to their notice the folly of their conduct, I respectfully submit.
When the trading psychologist is called in to help, now he finds a complete cat's cradle of a knot of problems to deal with. The trouble is, the victim is sometimes not even aware of what these problems are and where they emanate, because many of them are linked and intertwined and dependent upon one another. And often they are well hidden by pride, and an inability to confront, and so on.A real mess.
But where they emanate is clear to me if to no one else.
They emanate from dereliction, as a result of succumbing to greed and impatience and an excess of testosterone, and of using wide stops and finding arcane excuses to justify them and to continue to justify them.
Now, there's food for thought.
The irony is, that experienced and proficient traders do not need to be told this, as they may already intuitively know it if not at a conscious level. The newbies need to be told, but respond inappropriately,
I again respectfully submit.
Now discuss all of this among yourselves for the rest of the weekend.