Dow 2008

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just when everyone becomes complacent of the bounce.. the DOW is going to remind all that its in "Bear" mode...
 
looking to buy 10700/ 10750 range over the next couple of days, swing trade looking for 11600 then 12000/12100 over the next 3 months.
the problem is the low could be anywhere between 10700 and 10850 which we have hit today.

first target area hit today. I did not get a chance to go short but will short tomorrow around or above 11600 if I can, for a short term down move.
 
first target area hit today. I did not get a chance to go short but will short tomorrow around or above 11600 if I can, for a short term down move.

Fwiw, I think we will have congestion around the 11600-800 mark where it will trend sideways before tanking big time around August.

I then think a little pickup around Sept/Oct to end of year is a probability having tested the lows and support again.
 
looking to short today. Even if this is a corrective move which I think it is, we should have 3 waves A (up) B (down) and C (up). I think we have just had A up more or less 800 points, with a B wave down to come and then a C move up to around the 12000/12100 area.

short 11610
 
Fwiw, I think we will have congestion around the 11600-800 mark where it will trend sideways before tanking big time around August.

I then think a little pickup around Sept/Oct to end of year is a probability having tested the lows and support again.


I think my next major turning points are going to be 15, 18/19 of August.
89 days from the 19th of May high and 34 days from the low we just had on the 15th of July. If we are around 12000/ 12100 on these dates I will be going short.
 
think we're in for a tight ranging day today, doubt very mch that we will break below 11500
 
Atilla,

I think you are right, the same thing happened of the January lows. I have closed my position way to early as I could not keep track of it for the last few hours. I was intending to hold out for the 23.6% around 11490.Anyway just have to wait for the next trade now.
 
Atilla,

I think you are right, the same thing happened of the January lows. I have closed my position way to early as I could not keep track of it for the last few hours. I was intending to hold out for the 23.6% around 11490.Anyway just have to wait for the next trade now.

I'm at home now but didn't take the short from work as I wavered hummed and harred and left flat.


I now think we will turn from 11330 which is S2 on my pivot points. Contemplating going long.
 
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