Daily Trading Advisory
DAILY TRADING ADVISORY 14 -December – 2007
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
8:30 AM CPI
8:30 AM Core CPI
9:15 AM Industrial Production
9:15 AM Capacity Utilization
WEEKLY BULLS AND BEARS SENTIMENT
BULLS 38%
BEARS 33%
After reporting and increase in PPI inflation readings and a good Retail Sales numbers, the market opened slightly lower and bounced to the 1497.00 on the March EMINI SP futures just bellow our pivot number which called for buying activity above 1498.00. The index was immediately reversed and pushed down to 1483.25. Yesterday report was calling for a short entry on early strength or on a double top or lower high formation, as the EMINI SP futures did not get to resistance we missed the move down.
The index bounced back printing a double top at 1494.00 while the EMINI NASDAQ futures rallied 10 points from its 2096.00 low, a non gusto rally. Unable to break the 1494.00 double top, the EMINI SP was sold breaking bellow the 1488.00 opening range and pushing lower to test the Globex lows at 1480.00 levels, just at our 1481.00-1480.00 support area. Yesterday I wrote: “If buyers don’t jump at the initial support, the EMINI SP futures could slide to the 1481.00-1479.00 area while the EMINI NASDAQ futures get to 2098.00-2096.00.” Both levels were tested and held during all the session. At midday, the indexes tested the lows and after trading the next two hours between 1482.00 and 1487.00, the EMINI SP futures pushed above resistance and rallying to the 1495.00 area. A pullback to the previous intraday resistance and new support at 1487.00 was bought and the EMINI SP futures rallied to the previous day settlement around 1501.00. Our “EMINI SP REAL TIME TRADING” subscribers were accurate updated and bought around 1482.50, close to the daily lows.
Thursday brought range action between Wednesday’s lows and highs, and probably on today’s session we’ll have more range movement until a clear break occurs. The fact that the EMINI SP futures were able to test and rebound from Wednesday’s lows, it’s a call for a short term bottom. During this week I have been predicting based on my studies, a trading low between yesterday and today, and a weak rally for the coming weeks that could take the EMINI SP futures back to the 1517.00-1530 area by the end of the year.
Yesterday’s bullish chart formation makes today’s session a critical one, as yesterday’s lows has to hold any selling pressure, and although, there was and increase in volume during the bounce, there is still a lot of indecision between the bulls and the bears. Definitely I will avoid any shorts near support as I consider the market cold for short sellers.
Only a break bellow yesterday’s lows that is not immediately rejected and reversed, will be an indication of a weaker market for the sessions to come, furthermore, a one day weak rally without follow through, and a new low the next day, will also be an indication of a strong downtrend. These are the only two scenarios that will make me change my forecast for the next two week.
For today, yesterday’s close looks as a good set up to sell early strength and buy on a pullback as a continuation bullish pattern and a not so wide range day is expected as markets are calling for some stability. We have initial resistance at 1500.50-1502.50 on the EMINI SP futures and 2121.00-2123.00 on the EMINI NASDAQ futures, if those are reached by the opening or during the first 40 minutes of trading and rejected, they should offer a good shorting opportunity for at least 6-8 points, but if those don’t hold, a pop up to the 1505.50-1506.50 on the EMINI SP futures and 2128.00-2130.00 is possible, those will offer strong resistance, they are Wednesday’s highs, and the markets will be range bounded all the time that those areas are not broken to the upside, so if the indexes test those levels and hesitate around them, go short with tight stops. If those are beaten 1512.00-1513.00 on the EMINI SP futures and 2140.00-2142.00 on the EMINI NASDAQ futures are the only obstacles for a test of the 1516.00-1517.00 and 2158.00-2160.00 respectively.
If the market moves lower, there is initial support at 1492.00-1490.00 on the EMINI SP futures and 2105.00-2103.50 on the EMINI NASDAQ futures. If the markets open close to those areas, buyers should step in and try to reach settlement, but if those are broken, yesterday’s swing lows at 1487.00-1486.00 and 2096.00-2095.00 must hold any selling pressure. If these areas are tested and hold, the EMINI SP futures could rally up to 18 points; but if those don’t seduce buyers, yesterday’s lows at 1481.00-1480.00 on the EMINI SP futures and 2083.50-2082.00 will be checked to scare the bulls. If those can not hold, the EMINI SP futures will be on its way to the 1473.00-1471.00 area on a bloody Friday.
TODAY’S SUPPORT, PIVOT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS
S&P NASDAQ RUSSELL
Resistance 3 1512.00-1513.00 2140.00-2142.00 783.30-785.00
Resistance 2 1505.50-1506.50 2128.00-2130.00 778.20-779.20
Resistance 1 1500.50-1502.50 2121.00-2123.00 773.10-774.30
PIVOT 1494.50 2110.00 769.80
Support 1 1492.00-1490.00 2105.00-2103.50 768.40-767.20
Support 2 1487.00-1486.00 2096.00-2095.00 763.30-762.40
Support 3 1481.00-1480.00 2083.50-2082.00 757.00-755.70
For EMINI RUSSELL traders, it is crucial for this index to maintain the 763.30-762.40 area as it has revealed weakness in a period where small caps should be outperforming the heavy ones. GOOD LUCK
S&P NASDAQ RUSSELL
FIBONACCI FIBONACCI FIBONACCI
1606.28 2264.24 839.00
1594.72 2248.01 832.51
1576.00 2221.75 822.00
1557.28 2195.49 811.50
1545.72 2179.26 805.01
1527.00 2153.00 794.50
1508.28 2126.74 784.00
1502.50 2118.63 780.75
1496.72 2110.51 777.51
1478.00 2084.25 767.00
1459.28 2057.99 756.50
1447.72 2041.76 750.01
1429.00 2015.50 739.50
1410.28 1989.24 729.00
1398.72 1973.01 722.51
DAILY PROJECTIONS S&P NASDAQ RUSSELL
AS DAILY HIGH 1509.25 2127.50 777.20
AS DAILY LOW 1487.75 2098.50 764.40
Futures and options trading have large potential rewards, but also LARGE POTENTIAL RISK. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to buy or sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in this document. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of futures results.
DAY TRADING INVOLVES HIGH RISK AND YOU CAN LOSE A LOT OF MONEY.
Every effort has been made to accurately represent all of our products and it's potential. As with any business there is a risk of loss of capital and there is no guarantee that you will earn any money. The financial markets are risky .Investing is risky. The foregoing has been prepared only and solely for informational purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security, option or futures contract. Opinion is based on historical research but there is not guarantee that futures results will be profitable. We are not advocating or recommending trading futures and our services, notes and entry and exit prices to the markets only reflects our opinion an a manner how markets can be traded. We mention many indexes like the S&P, NASDAQ, Russell, Dow Jones as T-Bonds only because they are the most known and liquid markets, and not because we recommend in any way to be traded.
You can lose more than your initial investment.
We are not Brokers, Registered Trading Advisors, Registered Investment Advisors or Commodity Trading Advisors. All the material contained here or in any communication is only for information purposes and part of our thoughts and personal conclusions.
Copyright © by theminitrade.com
Index Futures Information Services - Emini Trading Advisory and Trading Alerts | TheMiniTrade.com
DAILY TRADING ADVISORY 14 -December – 2007
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
8:30 AM CPI
8:30 AM Core CPI
9:15 AM Industrial Production
9:15 AM Capacity Utilization
WEEKLY BULLS AND BEARS SENTIMENT
BULLS 38%
BEARS 33%
After reporting and increase in PPI inflation readings and a good Retail Sales numbers, the market opened slightly lower and bounced to the 1497.00 on the March EMINI SP futures just bellow our pivot number which called for buying activity above 1498.00. The index was immediately reversed and pushed down to 1483.25. Yesterday report was calling for a short entry on early strength or on a double top or lower high formation, as the EMINI SP futures did not get to resistance we missed the move down.
The index bounced back printing a double top at 1494.00 while the EMINI NASDAQ futures rallied 10 points from its 2096.00 low, a non gusto rally. Unable to break the 1494.00 double top, the EMINI SP was sold breaking bellow the 1488.00 opening range and pushing lower to test the Globex lows at 1480.00 levels, just at our 1481.00-1480.00 support area. Yesterday I wrote: “If buyers don’t jump at the initial support, the EMINI SP futures could slide to the 1481.00-1479.00 area while the EMINI NASDAQ futures get to 2098.00-2096.00.” Both levels were tested and held during all the session. At midday, the indexes tested the lows and after trading the next two hours between 1482.00 and 1487.00, the EMINI SP futures pushed above resistance and rallying to the 1495.00 area. A pullback to the previous intraday resistance and new support at 1487.00 was bought and the EMINI SP futures rallied to the previous day settlement around 1501.00. Our “EMINI SP REAL TIME TRADING” subscribers were accurate updated and bought around 1482.50, close to the daily lows.
Thursday brought range action between Wednesday’s lows and highs, and probably on today’s session we’ll have more range movement until a clear break occurs. The fact that the EMINI SP futures were able to test and rebound from Wednesday’s lows, it’s a call for a short term bottom. During this week I have been predicting based on my studies, a trading low between yesterday and today, and a weak rally for the coming weeks that could take the EMINI SP futures back to the 1517.00-1530 area by the end of the year.
Yesterday’s bullish chart formation makes today’s session a critical one, as yesterday’s lows has to hold any selling pressure, and although, there was and increase in volume during the bounce, there is still a lot of indecision between the bulls and the bears. Definitely I will avoid any shorts near support as I consider the market cold for short sellers.
Only a break bellow yesterday’s lows that is not immediately rejected and reversed, will be an indication of a weaker market for the sessions to come, furthermore, a one day weak rally without follow through, and a new low the next day, will also be an indication of a strong downtrend. These are the only two scenarios that will make me change my forecast for the next two week.
For today, yesterday’s close looks as a good set up to sell early strength and buy on a pullback as a continuation bullish pattern and a not so wide range day is expected as markets are calling for some stability. We have initial resistance at 1500.50-1502.50 on the EMINI SP futures and 2121.00-2123.00 on the EMINI NASDAQ futures, if those are reached by the opening or during the first 40 minutes of trading and rejected, they should offer a good shorting opportunity for at least 6-8 points, but if those don’t hold, a pop up to the 1505.50-1506.50 on the EMINI SP futures and 2128.00-2130.00 is possible, those will offer strong resistance, they are Wednesday’s highs, and the markets will be range bounded all the time that those areas are not broken to the upside, so if the indexes test those levels and hesitate around them, go short with tight stops. If those are beaten 1512.00-1513.00 on the EMINI SP futures and 2140.00-2142.00 on the EMINI NASDAQ futures are the only obstacles for a test of the 1516.00-1517.00 and 2158.00-2160.00 respectively.
If the market moves lower, there is initial support at 1492.00-1490.00 on the EMINI SP futures and 2105.00-2103.50 on the EMINI NASDAQ futures. If the markets open close to those areas, buyers should step in and try to reach settlement, but if those are broken, yesterday’s swing lows at 1487.00-1486.00 and 2096.00-2095.00 must hold any selling pressure. If these areas are tested and hold, the EMINI SP futures could rally up to 18 points; but if those don’t seduce buyers, yesterday’s lows at 1481.00-1480.00 on the EMINI SP futures and 2083.50-2082.00 will be checked to scare the bulls. If those can not hold, the EMINI SP futures will be on its way to the 1473.00-1471.00 area on a bloody Friday.
TODAY’S SUPPORT, PIVOT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS
S&P NASDAQ RUSSELL
Resistance 3 1512.00-1513.00 2140.00-2142.00 783.30-785.00
Resistance 2 1505.50-1506.50 2128.00-2130.00 778.20-779.20
Resistance 1 1500.50-1502.50 2121.00-2123.00 773.10-774.30
PIVOT 1494.50 2110.00 769.80
Support 1 1492.00-1490.00 2105.00-2103.50 768.40-767.20
Support 2 1487.00-1486.00 2096.00-2095.00 763.30-762.40
Support 3 1481.00-1480.00 2083.50-2082.00 757.00-755.70
For EMINI RUSSELL traders, it is crucial for this index to maintain the 763.30-762.40 area as it has revealed weakness in a period where small caps should be outperforming the heavy ones. GOOD LUCK
S&P NASDAQ RUSSELL
FIBONACCI FIBONACCI FIBONACCI
1606.28 2264.24 839.00
1594.72 2248.01 832.51
1576.00 2221.75 822.00
1557.28 2195.49 811.50
1545.72 2179.26 805.01
1527.00 2153.00 794.50
1508.28 2126.74 784.00
1502.50 2118.63 780.75
1496.72 2110.51 777.51
1478.00 2084.25 767.00
1459.28 2057.99 756.50
1447.72 2041.76 750.01
1429.00 2015.50 739.50
1410.28 1989.24 729.00
1398.72 1973.01 722.51
DAILY PROJECTIONS S&P NASDAQ RUSSELL
AS DAILY HIGH 1509.25 2127.50 777.20
AS DAILY LOW 1487.75 2098.50 764.40
Futures and options trading have large potential rewards, but also LARGE POTENTIAL RISK. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to buy or sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed in this document. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of futures results.
DAY TRADING INVOLVES HIGH RISK AND YOU CAN LOSE A LOT OF MONEY.
Every effort has been made to accurately represent all of our products and it's potential. As with any business there is a risk of loss of capital and there is no guarantee that you will earn any money. The financial markets are risky .Investing is risky. The foregoing has been prepared only and solely for informational purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security, option or futures contract. Opinion is based on historical research but there is not guarantee that futures results will be profitable. We are not advocating or recommending trading futures and our services, notes and entry and exit prices to the markets only reflects our opinion an a manner how markets can be traded. We mention many indexes like the S&P, NASDAQ, Russell, Dow Jones as T-Bonds only because they are the most known and liquid markets, and not because we recommend in any way to be traded.
You can lose more than your initial investment.
We are not Brokers, Registered Trading Advisors, Registered Investment Advisors or Commodity Trading Advisors. All the material contained here or in any communication is only for information purposes and part of our thoughts and personal conclusions.
Copyright © by theminitrade.com
Index Futures Information Services - Emini Trading Advisory and Trading Alerts | TheMiniTrade.com