Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

Analytical US Stock Market Outlook for 2025–2030 and Beyond
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The S&P 500 is a cornerstone of the US stock market, reflecting the performance of 500 major companies across diverse industries. This article examines the index's historical performance, provides a detailed analysis of key drivers shaping its future, and offers insights into what analysts expect in their S&P 500 forecasts for the next 5 years and beyond.

S&P 500 Price History

Established in 1957, the S&P 500, or S&P 500 index, is a benchmark index that tracks 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. It acts as a key gauge for the overall state of the US economy and financial markets, with the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) often acting as the primary investment vehicle for the index.

Inception to 2008

The S&P 500 began at a level of 44 in 1957 and steadily climbed, reflecting post-war economic expansion in the US. Significant milestones included the bull market of the 1990s and the early 2000s dot-com bubble, which pushed the index to record highs before the bubble burst. In 2007, the index reached a peak of 1,576, fuelled by strong corporate earnings and speculative investment activity, before the 2008 financial crisis caused a sharp 57% drop to 666 by March 2009.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.
 
European Currencies Correct in Anticipation of a Pre-Holiday Rally
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Despite the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump, who has frequently discussed the possibility of new trade tariffs, EUR/USD and GBP/USD managed to find medium-term support last week. Both pairs are now attempting to recover toward recent highs.

GBP/USD
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Last week, GBP/USD broke below the November low at 1.2480. However, the pair quickly rebounded above 1.2500, forming a bullish engulfing reversal pattern.

According to technical analysis, GBP/USD has the potential to rise further toward 1.2660–1.2730 if it can sustain levels above 1.2600. On the downside, a retest of 1.2470 could lead to a downward breakout, potentially driving the pair toward 1.2300–1.2400.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
AMD Stock Price Rebounds from Yearly Low. 2025 Forecast
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As the chart indicates, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reached its yearly low on 20th December, dropping below $120.

However, on Monday, AMD emerged as one of the top-performing stocks in the market. The trading session opened with a bullish gap, and by the close, the stock had gained approximately 4.5% compared to Friday's close. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) rose by 0.7% on the same day.

According to technical analysis of the AMD stock chart, in 2024, the price formed a descending price channel (highlighted in red), characterised by the following:

  • Bears broke below three trendlines, forming a structure reminiscent of Gann fans.
  • There is a possibility that the fourth (lowest) trendline could serve as a strong support level, preventing the price from reaching the bottom of the channel. The sharp upward reversal from the $120 level may be considered a sign supporting this scenario.

Price action suggests increasing demand, and analysts (as outlined below) believe buyers may play a more active role in 2025.

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TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
NZD/USD Stabilises Ahead of the Holidays
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Forex trading is slowing down as the holidays approach, offering a pause after significant movements driven by various news events, including central bank decisions.

Notably, NZD/USD reached its lowest level since October 2022 at the end of last week.

The decline in NZD/USD has been influenced by two main factors:

1. The dollar gained momentum following the Federal Reserve's decision to lower the interest rate by 0.25% and its forward guidance for 2025.

2. According to Reuters:
→ New Zealand's economy contracted much more sharply than expected in the second and third quarters.
→ Market participants anticipate that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may lower interest rates by 0.5% in February.

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TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
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