FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 29th Dec, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPJPY - next break 175.80
In longer term there in an uptrend at GBPJPY however current price behaviour shows that right now correction may be deeper. For 3 years GBPJPY moved in an upward trend and in this particular time it gained 50% of its value.
For this year's holidays situation looks worst. Price didn't established new highs. Last weeks was very important for further direction of price movement. In last week price broke below support from August. Today supply continue its downward rally reached 8-months low. Nearest support is 177.60 level. However stronger support which should make rebound is at 175.80 level. Alternatively if rebound occur, resistances are located at levels: 180.60, 184.20, 187.40.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 30th Dec, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPAUD - 6-months low
GBPAUD declines since August 015. Previous upward movement is corrected (it took place between September 2014 and August 2015). Price broke below Fibonacci 38,2% and declines continued (six months low was reached).
Nearest support is 2.0000 and it is target for declines. However it is more likely that rebound will take place at lower level. Stronger support that coincides with Fibonacci 50% is at 1.9800. This level should be a good spot for a rebound. If demand tries to finish this correction and return to uptrend, price will need to break above 2.0450 level.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 04th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
AUDJPY - attempt of break below the lower limit of the flag pattern
Since August AUDJPY moved in a flag pattern. Flag is a pattern of trend continuation which means that price should break below lower limit of the flag according to a main downtrend. Today there was an attempt of such breakout and price is at two months low.
Break below that level during today's session may not be successful because at 85.60 there is a support, where price may rebound. However when that support will be broken, price should go back to downtrend. Nearest supports: 85.60, 84.70, 83.60, 82.20. Nearest resistances: 86.80, 88.30, 90.30.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 04th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
NZDCAD - correction may lead to 0.9000
In previous analysis December 18 entitled: "upward rally is coming to an end?" I pointed that correction may occur because of overbought at NZDCAD. So it happened however correction has started 100 pips above level that I pointed in that analysis. At December 29 at daily chart there is a PIN BAR candle which tested area of highest level of 2015. Since that moment price falls.
Today price is testing 93.70 level however it is likely that falls will be deeper. If current support will be break below next supports are located at 92.20, 91.10, 90.10. It is likely that price will test 0.9000 level. This area is strengthened by support and Fibonacci 61,8% level of previous upward movement. Alternatively if demand is still strong after short correction price could begin consolidation below 2015 top.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 05th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPJPY - it is time for a rebound
Last week analysis brought a good profit. When price was at 178.22 I pointed that falls will continue in analysis entitled "next break 175.80". Currently price reached the support in area 175.50 where exchange rate reacted many times between December 2013 and April 2015. It is likely that rebound will occur at current level and further price direction will depend on that rebound strength. However if GBPJPY breaks below this support it will be a confirmation of deeper correction or even a trend reversal. Strong rebound from this support with new local high will be a signal that correction is over and price will return to uptrend.
Wider view.
Since 2012 GBPJPY moved in an uptrend but last six months was highly problematic for demand and achieving new highs. Last time new high was approached in June 21 2015 at 195.87 level and after that price moved with lower highs and lower lows. It is a confirmation that correction is in progress or even a trend reversal.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 05th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURUSD - consolidation breakout
Since December 4 EURUSD moved in consolidation between levels: 1.0800 - 1.1040 (blue lines at the chart). Today price broke below lower consolidation band and immediately price broke two nearest supports: 1.0780, 1.0730. Direction of movement is in line with fundamentals which means a politics of both central banks. Dovish EBC and hawkish FED should cause euro depreciation against the dollar what could be seen on today's chart.
Next supports are located at levels: 1.0680, 1.0630, 1.0560. Currently it is likely that price will return and test lower limit of consolidation at 1.0800. If demand moves back inside the consolidation, then breakout will be a fake one. However if this scenario won't succeed and price will rebound, then the lows from 2015 should be tested.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 06th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURJPY - approached important support
The beginning of the year for EURJPY brought 3 sessions of consecutive declines. Price is at lowest level since April 2015. EURJPY moved the entire 2015 inside consolidation without clear trend between 126.10 - 140.50 levels. Rebound may occur in a moment. Key level which should bring demand reaction is located near 126.50. However if rebound won't succeed and declines will continue (what is currently less likely) break below 126.00 level will confirm that EURJPY is in a downtrend.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 06th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
USDTRY - return above 3.0000
Since more than 5 years USDTRY moves in an uptrend. In September 2015 price reached 3.0000 level and after creation of the double top pattern correction occured. Correction lasted one month and took a form of ABCD simple correction with AB=CD dependence. Since bottom in November 2 price moved upward with higher highs and higher lows.
Today USDTRY broke above key level 3.0000. Next resistances are located at 3.0280, 3.0610. If price will break above last top at 3.0750 it will be a signal for a new uptrend impulse. Alternatively if current breakout won't succeed and price will fall below 3.0000 nearest supports are located at levels: 2.9850, 2.9400, 2.9050.
Time-frame H4
Time-frame D1
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 07th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPUSD - at key support
Hawkish FED strengthened dollar at all of the fronts. Yesterday FOMC minutes were published and they confirmed FED's members unanimity in the matter of rates hike. There is 45% chance of next rate hike during March's meeting.
Due to this fact, GBPUSD fell to last year's low. If attempt of support breakout at 1.4600 succeeds next support will be find near 1.4250 - 1.4400 area (2010 low). If that level also breaks, historical low from 2009 at region 1.3500 will become a next support. However if price rebounds from current support, nearest resistances are located at levels: 1.4740, 1.4820, 1.4940.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 07th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
USDJPY - movement to 116.00
USDJPY continues downward movement which lasts since early December with a short break. It should be noted, price is oversold and since two weeks there wasn't any correction. However today's low could be deepened. Yesterday's support at 118.70 was broken and that fact showed some consequences today. Strong downtrend candle broke below 4-months low and currently 2015 low (area 116.00) is a bearish target.
It is likely that weak correction may appear and 118.70 will be tested. If there will be a rebound at 118.70 level price will fall to 116.00. Behavior of price at this level will be important for further direction of USDJPY movement. Breakout of one year's low will give a strong sell signal and a trend reversal in the long term.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 08th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
AUDCAD - support at 0.9870 paused correction
Previous analysis was extremely precise. I pointed that currency is overbought and correction may occur in a moment, I wrote: "Correction may begin at every moment, however it is likely that current movement will lead price to supports at 1.0130 or 1.0200. If one of that levels will cause rebound, nearest support is at 0.9970 level". So it happened and price shadow (wick of the candle) exceeded firstly pointed level about 37 pips and dynamic correction occured.
AUDCAD doesn't like movement in consolidation and by the fact, that upward move which lasted since the beginning of November was almost vertical now correction could be also dynamic. First support at 0.9970 was broken below and a pause in declines caused second support test at 0.9870. If there will be a breakout of that level next stronger support is located in 0.9730 area (conicided with Fibonacci 50%). At one of that supports rebound should occur and it shows current strength of demand.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 08th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURGBP - triple top pattern
Today's nonfarm payrolls data were extremely calm, despite that the forecasts were completely different. Unemployment in USA remained at 5% and US economy created almost 50% more work places in nonfarm sector than it was forecasted (292k vs 200k). EURGBP chart looks really interesting, where price (since last year's April) for the third time reached resistance 0.7480 and rebounded again.
Right now we can see triple top pattern, which is a declines signal. This time demand should try another attack at this resistance and it can even reach again to yesterday's high. At time-frame H4 the possibility of rebound is confirmed by yesterday's candle with a long upper shadow. Nearest supports: 0.7420, 0.7320, 0.7250. Key resistance at 0.7480 level.
Time-frame D1
Time-frame H4
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 11th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURJPY - support reacted, it is time for a bigger rebound
Last week analysis was very profitable. In analysis entitled: "EURJPY - approached important support", I wrote: "Rebound may occur in a moment. Key level which should bring demand reaction is located near 126.50". In fact rebound occurred 50 pips above that level and signal to take the long position was OUTSIDE BAR price action pattern. It is visible at chart H4 (pointed by arrow). Low of that pattern was deepened by long shadow (it required wider SL or renewed long position), after which upward movement continued to first resistance at 128.80.
If this resistance breaks next target for bulls will be located at 129.80, 130.75. However if declines shows once again, supply will want to test area 126.50 and there should be stable rebound.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 11th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
AUDUSD - dynamic rebound from the support
Since the beginning of this year AUDUSD falls and broke few supports. For 6 sessions there was lower highs and lower lows and this downtrend stopped today, when first dynamic rebound occurred. Rebound was caused by support which was created by September's lows at area 0.6920. Temporarily rebound was stopped by 0.7020 level, but after its breakout next resistances are at levels: 0.7080, 0.7160, 0.7280.
Wider view, time-frame W1
Since 2011 AUDUSD moves in downtrend. However last 5 months is a side movement between levels: 0.6920 - 0.7370. It is more likely that in long time trend will be continued and price will fall below 0.6920. While price is between pointed levels it is a side trend and traders should trade from band to band.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 12th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURUSD - movement in downward channel suggest the direction of breakout
Since December 4 EURUSD moves in downward channel between 1.0720 - 1.1050. Fundamentally dollar should strengthened and EURUSD continue its declines but it doesn't. It indicates, that any dovish information from FED could induce upward movement at least to 1.1050. Similar channels formed several times in the last few months (as you can see in the chart D1) and every time breakout was in direction opposed to the channel slope. If price breaks the channel, further movement will be also in consolidation but in a bigger one, between levels: 1.0500 - 1.1500.
Time-frame H4
Time-frame D1
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 12th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPUSD - lowest since mid-2010
Currently we have very clear situation at GBPUSD. After support breakout (1.4600) price tested it from the bottom. Reversing the polarity was confirmed and last support has become new resistance which is clearly visible in the chart below. Demand couldn't go back even for a moment above 1.4600. Further target for falls could be one of supports from 2010: 1.4400 or 1.4250. If price falls below them it is almost certain that price will reach below 1.4000 level.
Attention should be paid to the GBPUSD nearest Thursday when the central bank of England publish its decision on interest rates. A likely scenario is a test of one of the indicated levels and rebound on Thursday's BoE decision.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 13th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPAUD - movement in downtrend channel
Since last year's August GBPAUD moves in a downtrend. Previous wave of declines finished at 2.0170 (almost 7-months low) and rebound occurred. Price was gaining until Monday when after reaching a downtrend line (coinciding with Fibonacci 78,6%) new wave of falls occurred. Today downward movement is continued, but declines are paused by support 2.0470. There is no sign that this support should stop declines. It is very likely that after its breakout, lower limit of downward channel will be tested. Currently that lower limit coincides with strong support 1.9900. However if bulls strengthens, the trend reversal momentum will try to close the price above 2.1000 level. This would mean break above: downtrend line (time-frame H4) and downtrend channel (time-frame D1).
Time-frame H4
Time-frame D1
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 13th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
CADJPY - closer to stronger support zone
Analysis from December 17 was very profitable. However declines without any correction reached much lower than I expected (black symbols at H4 chart). I wrote: "Current situation looks very bad for demand side. Upward movement which we saw this week was just a re-test of new resistance. It is likely that declines will become a further direction", "The nearest support can be found at: 87.40, and another in the area 85.00".
Downtrend is so strong that support at 85.00 didn't stop declines even for one day. Currently lower limit of downtrend channel was tested and weak rebound may occur, however it shouldn't reach higher than 84.70. Strong support is near 81.00 area and there should be a rebound. Price many times reacted at this level between 2010 – 2012. However if bulls strengthen first break above 85.00 level will be a first signal for a trend reversal.
Time-frame H4
Time-frame W1
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 14th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
NZDCAD - it's not the end of correction
After upward movement lasting 2 months NZDCAD reached resistance, which since 2014 has been causing rebounds. That's also happened now. For the third time area 0.9550 stopped bulls charge. Falls that occurred doesn't reach even to Fibonacci 38,2% which could mean that correction isn't finish.
Bulls could try to return to uptrend as evidenced by broken intraday downtrend line (orange line at the chart). However it shouldn't be succeeded (December's high shouldn't be threatened). If bulls fail, price will come back to correction. When bears return and support at 0.9240 will be broken, it is likely that next target will be found near 0.9000 - 0.9050. At this area supports coincide with Fibonacci levels. Nearest resistances: 0.9380, 0.9470, 0.9550. Nearest supports: 0.9240, 0.9110, area 0.9000-0.9050.
Time-frame H4
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 14th Jan, 2015 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURJPY - failed attempt of break above triangle upper limit
In January there is a side trend at EURJPY and price formed triangle pattern. Today bulls tried to broke above upper limit of the triangle but they failed. Successful breakout could be very dynamic. If it is up, upward movement will be limited to 133.00. However if it is down, it will give a strong long-term trend reversal signal.
Wider view, time-frame D1
Since December 2014 EURJPY moves in a downtrend, in last week price reached 8 months low. Currently price is near support, but it is very hard to see any good signals looking at the chart. Break below support at 126.90 could lead price to 120.50 and in a long term will look like trend reversal (because right now falls still could be seen as a correction in uptrend). Alternatively if rebound occurs the main challenge for the bulls will be break above resistance at 133.00, where right now is a downtrend line.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
