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Daily Report on October 03, 2017
Tracking overnight strength on Wall Street, Asian shares were broadly stronger while European stocks opened higher on Tuesday. Stocks in Hong Kong and Japan led gains with Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stocks Average jumping 1.1 percent to the highest close since August 2015, while the Topix index climbing 0.7 percent. The Hang Seng China Enterprises gauge of mainland firms traded in Hong Kong reopened after a holiday on Monday, up 3.1 percent.
The Hang Seng Index soared 1.8 percent. Markets in China and South Korea are closed for the entire week. Stoxx Europe 600 opened 0.1% higher at 390.50 while France's CAC 40 index opened 0.2% higher at 5,362.82. Germany was closed for holiday while UK's FTSE 100 index edged 0.1 percent lower, led by a fall of more than 2 percent in shares of Bae Systems following a downgrade to hold at Berernberg.
The Aussie slipped more than 0.2 percent to trade at $0.7808 in early European trading session, heading for the seventh daily decline in the last nine trading days. As widely expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at a record-low 1.5%, where it has remained since August 2016.
The currency deepened declines versus major rivals after Governor Philip Lowe gave no indication that the central bank is prepared to hike rate anytime soon given high household debt and weak wages growth. Mr. Lowe also warned that the appreciation of the Aussie which recently traded near two-year highs may hold back both economic recovery and prospect of inflation moving towards the RBA’s goal target of 2 percent.
Technicals
GBPJPY
GBPJPY has been moving sideways above a firm support at 149.500. Under the downward pressure exerted by two moving averages that are hanging above the price action, the pair is expected to break out of this support to test another firm handle at 148.300. RSI index continue to trace down moves, whereas ADX index is witnessing –DI and +DI lines moving in different directions.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 149.500, Take profit at 148.300, Stop loss at 150.00
USDJPY
Having been supported by a couple of moving averages that are lingering below the price action, the pair USDJPT rebounded after a period of moving sideways around a significant level at 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. The currency pair is forecast to sustain its bullish force to test a resistance at 113.600. RSI index is heading higher, confirming the signal.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 113.200, Take profit at 113.600, Stop loss at 113.000
WTI
U.S. crude oil futures continued to trade lower after having been in a consolidation above a strong support at 50.300. The commodity appears to break out of this handle with the short-term MA20 crossing over the long-term MA50 from above, confirming a reversal into a downtrend. RSI index is ticking lower, suggesting further downbeat moves for the commodity.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 50.200, Take profit at 49.300, Stop loss at 50.600
GOLD
Gold futures prices resumed its downtrend following a short correction at a one-and-a-half-month low logged yesterday. The precious metal has been depressed by a couple of moving averages that may send the price lower in an attempt to test a support at 1261.00. RSI is at as low as 32.13, indicating an overwhelming bearish force in the market.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 1269.00, Take profit at 1261.00, Stop loss at 1273.00
Natural Gas
Natural Gas futures prices reversed lower following a correction that came after the commodity tumbled to a nearly-one-month low yesterday. Two moving averages are lingering above the price action with the short-term MA20 likely to penetrate the long-term MA50 from above. While the RSI index is heading downwards, the ADX index is on a rise with widening gap between –DI and +DI lines, suggesting further declines.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 2.9050, Take profit at 2.8600, Stop loss at 2.9250
NASDAQ 100 Index
Nasdaq 100 index has been tracking a steady uptrend since it reversed higher from as low as 5840.00 logged late September. Two moving averages are lingering below the price action, supporting for the stock benchmark index. A resistance at 6010.00 is forecast to be tested given a market dominated by the buyers. RSI index is at as high as 62.17, confirming the signal.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 5988.00, Take profit at 6010.00, Stop loss at 5977.00
********************************************************
Aussie Extends Downward Rally Versus U.S. Dollar After RBA Talks Down Rate-hike Prospects
Australian dollar continued to trade lower against its American counterpart on Tuesday after the nation’s central bank decided to leave its rate on hold. Meanwhile, the greenback has been supported amidst optimism that the Federal Reserve will raise rates at the end of this year.
The Aussie slipped more than 0.2 percent to trade at $0.7808 in early European trading session, heading for the seventh daily decline in the last nine trading days. As widely expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at a record-low 1.5%, where it has remained since August 2016.
The currency deepened declines versus major rivals after Governor Philip Lowe gave no indication that the central bank is prepared to hike rate anytime soon given high household debt and weak wages growth. Mr. Lowe also warned that the appreciation of the Aussie which recently traded near two-year highs may hold back both economic recovery and prospect of inflation moving towards the RBA’s goal target of 2 percent.
Whereas, the U.S. dollar extended its rally against its peers with the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, up 0.13 percent to 93.75, its highest since August 17. Upbeat U.S. manufacturing data released on Monday, which indicated that U.S. of manufacturing activity climbed to a 13-month high of 60.8 in September, helped boost chances for a December rate hike by the Federal Reserve and the dollar.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 0.77900, Take profit at 0.77500, Stop loss at 0.78100
**********************************************************
Sterling Slips To Three-week Lows Vs Dollar After Construction PMI Drops Below 50
Sterling plunged to a nearly-three-week low versus the dollar on Tuesday after data showed activity in the UK construction sector in September contracted for the first time in 13 months.
The British pound extended its downward rally against its American counterpart to a third consecutive trading day, sending the pair GBPUSD down more than 0.2 percent to trade at $1.3249 – the weakest level since September 14th.
Financial data firm Markit on Tuesday reported that its construction purchasing managers’ index fell below the 50-point threshold that separates expansion from contraction for the first time since August 2016. Particularly, the index dropped to 48.1 in September from 51.1 in August, missing forecast calling for a reading of 51.1.
Moreover, Sterling has been under pressure after UK Trade Secretary Liam Fox warned that the UK will have no choice but to walk away if the country fails to make a trade deal with the European Union by March.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 1.32400, Take profit at 1.32000, Stop loss at 1.32600
*******************************************************
EUR/AUD
From GMT 09:00 03/10/2017
Till GMT 21:00 03/10/2017
Sell at 1.50300
Take profit at 1.50800
Stop loss at 1.50100
Tracking overnight strength on Wall Street, Asian shares were broadly stronger while European stocks opened higher on Tuesday. Stocks in Hong Kong and Japan led gains with Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stocks Average jumping 1.1 percent to the highest close since August 2015, while the Topix index climbing 0.7 percent. The Hang Seng China Enterprises gauge of mainland firms traded in Hong Kong reopened after a holiday on Monday, up 3.1 percent.
The Hang Seng Index soared 1.8 percent. Markets in China and South Korea are closed for the entire week. Stoxx Europe 600 opened 0.1% higher at 390.50 while France's CAC 40 index opened 0.2% higher at 5,362.82. Germany was closed for holiday while UK's FTSE 100 index edged 0.1 percent lower, led by a fall of more than 2 percent in shares of Bae Systems following a downgrade to hold at Berernberg.
The Aussie slipped more than 0.2 percent to trade at $0.7808 in early European trading session, heading for the seventh daily decline in the last nine trading days. As widely expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at a record-low 1.5%, where it has remained since August 2016.
The currency deepened declines versus major rivals after Governor Philip Lowe gave no indication that the central bank is prepared to hike rate anytime soon given high household debt and weak wages growth. Mr. Lowe also warned that the appreciation of the Aussie which recently traded near two-year highs may hold back both economic recovery and prospect of inflation moving towards the RBA’s goal target of 2 percent.
Technicals
GBPJPY
GBPJPY has been moving sideways above a firm support at 149.500. Under the downward pressure exerted by two moving averages that are hanging above the price action, the pair is expected to break out of this support to test another firm handle at 148.300. RSI index continue to trace down moves, whereas ADX index is witnessing –DI and +DI lines moving in different directions.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 149.500, Take profit at 148.300, Stop loss at 150.00
USDJPY
Having been supported by a couple of moving averages that are lingering below the price action, the pair USDJPT rebounded after a period of moving sideways around a significant level at 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. The currency pair is forecast to sustain its bullish force to test a resistance at 113.600. RSI index is heading higher, confirming the signal.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 113.200, Take profit at 113.600, Stop loss at 113.000
WTI
U.S. crude oil futures continued to trade lower after having been in a consolidation above a strong support at 50.300. The commodity appears to break out of this handle with the short-term MA20 crossing over the long-term MA50 from above, confirming a reversal into a downtrend. RSI index is ticking lower, suggesting further downbeat moves for the commodity.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 50.200, Take profit at 49.300, Stop loss at 50.600
GOLD
Gold futures prices resumed its downtrend following a short correction at a one-and-a-half-month low logged yesterday. The precious metal has been depressed by a couple of moving averages that may send the price lower in an attempt to test a support at 1261.00. RSI is at as low as 32.13, indicating an overwhelming bearish force in the market.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 1269.00, Take profit at 1261.00, Stop loss at 1273.00
Natural Gas
Natural Gas futures prices reversed lower following a correction that came after the commodity tumbled to a nearly-one-month low yesterday. Two moving averages are lingering above the price action with the short-term MA20 likely to penetrate the long-term MA50 from above. While the RSI index is heading downwards, the ADX index is on a rise with widening gap between –DI and +DI lines, suggesting further declines.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 2.9050, Take profit at 2.8600, Stop loss at 2.9250
NASDAQ 100 Index
Nasdaq 100 index has been tracking a steady uptrend since it reversed higher from as low as 5840.00 logged late September. Two moving averages are lingering below the price action, supporting for the stock benchmark index. A resistance at 6010.00 is forecast to be tested given a market dominated by the buyers. RSI index is at as high as 62.17, confirming the signal.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 5988.00, Take profit at 6010.00, Stop loss at 5977.00
********************************************************
Aussie Extends Downward Rally Versus U.S. Dollar After RBA Talks Down Rate-hike Prospects
Australian dollar continued to trade lower against its American counterpart on Tuesday after the nation’s central bank decided to leave its rate on hold. Meanwhile, the greenback has been supported amidst optimism that the Federal Reserve will raise rates at the end of this year.
The Aussie slipped more than 0.2 percent to trade at $0.7808 in early European trading session, heading for the seventh daily decline in the last nine trading days. As widely expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at a record-low 1.5%, where it has remained since August 2016.
The currency deepened declines versus major rivals after Governor Philip Lowe gave no indication that the central bank is prepared to hike rate anytime soon given high household debt and weak wages growth. Mr. Lowe also warned that the appreciation of the Aussie which recently traded near two-year highs may hold back both economic recovery and prospect of inflation moving towards the RBA’s goal target of 2 percent.
Whereas, the U.S. dollar extended its rally against its peers with the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, up 0.13 percent to 93.75, its highest since August 17. Upbeat U.S. manufacturing data released on Monday, which indicated that U.S. of manufacturing activity climbed to a 13-month high of 60.8 in September, helped boost chances for a December rate hike by the Federal Reserve and the dollar.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 0.77900, Take profit at 0.77500, Stop loss at 0.78100
**********************************************************
Sterling Slips To Three-week Lows Vs Dollar After Construction PMI Drops Below 50
Sterling plunged to a nearly-three-week low versus the dollar on Tuesday after data showed activity in the UK construction sector in September contracted for the first time in 13 months.
The British pound extended its downward rally against its American counterpart to a third consecutive trading day, sending the pair GBPUSD down more than 0.2 percent to trade at $1.3249 – the weakest level since September 14th.
Financial data firm Markit on Tuesday reported that its construction purchasing managers’ index fell below the 50-point threshold that separates expansion from contraction for the first time since August 2016. Particularly, the index dropped to 48.1 in September from 51.1 in August, missing forecast calling for a reading of 51.1.
Moreover, Sterling has been under pressure after UK Trade Secretary Liam Fox warned that the UK will have no choice but to walk away if the country fails to make a trade deal with the European Union by March.
Trade suggestion
Sell Stop at 1.32400, Take profit at 1.32000, Stop loss at 1.32600
*******************************************************
EUR/AUD
From GMT 09:00 03/10/2017
Till GMT 21:00 03/10/2017
Sell at 1.50300
Take profit at 1.50800
Stop loss at 1.50100