Daily Report on May 04, 2017 by Capital Street FX
Daily Report on May 04, 2017
European shares advanced on Thursday, boosted higher by upbeat earnings results while Australian and Chinese stocks fell as metals prices declined. Indeed, the Euro Stoxx 50 index gained for a third day, rising 0.2 percent after first-quarter earnings from companies including HSBC Holdings Plc and Royal Dutch Shell Plc beat estimates. In Asian trading hours, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index lost 0.3 percent whereas Hang Seng Index fell 0.3 percent.
At the end of its two-day meeting on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged as expected. However, the central bank emphasized the strength of the labor market instead of reiterating weak first-quarter economic growth, signaling that it might still on track for two more rate increases this year. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, Futures traders are now pricing in a 72 percent chance of a June rate hike, up from 63 percent before the Fed's statement.
As stated by a report from Markit, growth in China's services sector cooled on April. China’s Caixin/Markit services purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 51.5 last month from March's 52.2. The index extended its downward rally to a fourth month in a row and marked its weakest growth pace since May 2016.
Crude oil futures remained weak on Thursday after weekly data showed a smaller than expected decline in U.S. inventories. According to the Energy Information Administration, U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 930,000 barrels in the week to April 28. This was much less than analysts' expectations for a decrease of 2.3 million barrels.
Technicals
GBPUSD
GBPUSD reversed higher from the lowest level since April 26th. The pair is facing a resistance at 1.29000 after sending the market into a bullish zone, as indicated by RSI index that has moved past the 50 line. A major resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci is within the sight.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 1.29000, Take profit at 1.29400, Stop loss at 1.28800
EURJPY
EURJPY has been chasing an uptrend since it reversed higher from a support at 23.6% Fibonacci level. The pair extended its up moves to a fifth session in a row, attempting to test another Fibonacci retracement at 0.0%. Both RSI and ADX are soaring, suggesting a strong uptrend.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 123.400, Take profit at 124.000, Stop loss at 123.100
NZDJPY
As can be easily seen from the price chart, the pair NZDJPY has been supported by the short-term MA20. The price rebounded after hitting this dynamic support and is likely to march higher to reach a resistance at 78.000 with the market remaining in the bullish zone.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 77.600, Take profit at 78.000, Stop loss at 77.400
Dow Jones
Dow Jones’ price action has crossed over the short-term MA20, extending its upward rally after a period of moving sideways to lower. As indicated by RSI index which has surged to as high as 62.88, the market remains in the bullish zone, signaling further advances.
Trade suggestion
Buy Stop at 21000.00, Take profit at 21050.00, Stop loss at 20975.00