Rate Hike looms as inflation gathers pace
The chances of interest rates rising again in November increased today, after the Office for National Statistics (ONS) produced its latest inflation figures.
Inflation is what the Bank of England attempts to control by raising and lowering interest rates, and higher inflation generally leads to higher interest rates.
And the news is not good for borrowers as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose again in August to 2.5 per cent, after falling slightly in July.
CPI is the government's preferred measure of inflation, and it has now been running above the government's target of two per cent since April.
The Bank of England's interest rate setting Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) raised interest rates in August to try and stem inflation, but this does not seem to have had an immediate effect.
And while the MPC has ignored many recent inflation increases - which have been largely driven by increasing gas, electricity, and petrol prices which are expected to fall again naturally - August's rise in inflation comes at a deeper level.
Figures from the ONS show that petrol prices actually reduced August's inflation figure, while prices for games, toys and hobbies, furniture and furnishings, home maintenance equipment, and clothing and footwear all increased by more than in August last year.
"Rising prices for items such as clothing, footwear and household goods will maintain the Bank of England's concern that underlying inflation is starting to creep up," said Howard Archer, chief economist at the Global Insight consultancy.
And this higher-than-expected increase is what is leading experts to predict another interest rate increase in November.
"Consumer price inflation averaged 2.45 per cent in July and August, above the 2.32 per cent average for the third quarter projected in the Bank of England's August Inflation report," Mr Archer said.
"We expect a 0.25 per cent interest rate hike in November, but believe that moderating growth will alleviate the need for further interest rises after that."