Green Shoots!
Good to see green shoots of hope for Concept. For those of you holding your breath, I hope they grow, blossom and fruit, and it all hangs low for picking. I may miss out.
I see they’ve launched another marketing campaign. “2008 was brilliant for Concept users, and 2009 has had a superb start”! Yeah right. I have to take my hat off to their copywriter. No arguing yet with the 2009 bit, but Concept users who bought mid 2008, who are probably the majority, just might not go along with the spin!
Price discounted too. It would be a nice gesture wouldn’t it if all of us who “invested” £4000, £3000, £2000 or whatever, with guaranteed 100% depreciation over the first year (thinks, would you buy this car?), and never made a penny profit were given cash back. And if we were relieved of having to pay an extra £500pa from the anniversary when “free data” stops! If that charge is not paid or waived, our investment loses even the delusion of capital value. That expensive “trading software” we invested in will simply be garbage code lying around our hard drives. In reality of course it was never more than a gimmicky way of receiving daily trading signals. A daily email or SMS would have been more convenient and flexible, but could not have been marketed as “trading software”.
I have other fish to fry thank goodness. All my trading is now done using EAs, and this week sees some more steady progress in the numbers, with equity up by 50% since Christmas. Regular readers will know that my psychology is not up to “real trading”, but should be aware that there are psychological problems with automatic trading too! For me the profits so far do represent something of a personal triumph!! Once again, the weekly result masks many frustrations and uncertainties. It’s two steps forward and one step back. I haven’t had a losing week so far, so if it happens it will be a fresh psychological challenge eh. The live account with real money progresses as follows:
1 Dec 08 Starting Capital £100
5 Dec Equity stands at £207
12 Dec Equity stands at £1,085
19 Dec Equity stands at £1,548 (draw down from £6450!!)
19 Dec Starting capital of £100 withdrawn
24 Dec Equity stands at £1,954
2 Jan Equity stands at £2,305
9 Jan Equity stands at £2,546
16 Jan Equity stands at £2,947 (draw down from £3215)
Now that the holidays are behind us, FAPT seems to be settling back into it’s old form and has been making steady profits, with a few losing trades as you might expect. I am trading at a very much reduced lot size now. However as FAPT trades only during European night, it is nice to wake up to its happy little greeting! If it continues in this vein I may slowly ease the lot size up again.
I decided to fire up Roboteer again, and it has been doing quite well so far, being responsible for most of my gain in equity over the week. But on Friday it caused worry by generating that 9% draw down. I have it set to use automatic money management, same as FAPT. Recurring dream of breathtaking exponential growth - Greed playing tricks. But also a flashback to the nightmare of 18 Dec, which I described in an earlier post - Fear playing tricks.
I have still not sorted out the intermittent system/technical problems with my own EA and/or MT4. I don’t think it is a broker problem, but cannot totally rule that out. I have had a quote to get the thing re-coded from scratch by a different guy and am mulling it, as that would also offer an opportunity to further develop the strategy. Hate to spend twice over on the same project, especially when I’m not confident it will provide the solution. But the EA has already paid for itself and some, so I will probably just go ahead with the re-code.
Apart from the potential for more profit, and the probable hedging effect, of having my own EA running alongside the others, I do think it is a good idea to try to be independent of the retailed “black box” EAs. Both FAPT and Roboteer depend on the suppliers making regular optimisations, and might stop working altogether if the service were terminated for whatever reason. Anyone know where I might buy a good “open code” EA? Fat chance.