The Dutch Clown said:Dear Pacito,
Don’t tempt me, I have read some Cycle stuff and a combination with a peace of artificial Intelligence that forecasts earthquakes extraordinarily accurate but that’s a different ballgame. The chapter in the C. Brown book to read once again is the bit on what she calls reverse engineering but in the sense of thinking out of the box. The price targets you mention are already backed up by Reversal signals in different charts but now we have to start thinking again. Given the present value of our oscillator those targets are totally out of the question so I wondered if the phrase from my Math’s lessons – sorry in Dutch "de inverse bewering" – is true here as well. In my limited scope the approach to reversed engineering C. Brown took is too complex, simply working with the formula will do the trick as well. If I take a closer look at the intraday chart a very nice reversal signal is already in place and even a next one is a distinct possibility. If we take a closer look at the EOD chart there we find no reversal signal yet, other than the potential to create one in the near future.
If I take the Elliott Wave Analysis in account the preferred scenario is a wave 2 and yes you are right wave 1 is not the absolute high that’s one of the sub-waves of that second wave. The negative divergence in the oscillator – although the literature refers to the Elliott Oscillator -typically occurs in a wave five and continues in the corrective wave that follows the impulsive wave continuing the divergence as shown.
The DJIA has similar characteristics and today is lacking to use the support Gann line from the 10683 Fan and the next support area will be found in the 11200 region. Our oscillator is building upside potential so it seems that all pieces of the puzzle are in sight to become the whole picture..
My dear Best Clown.
Where are you?
You give the pipe too Maarten?
Y miss you.
With greatest respect