Sorry for the absence I have been rather tied up with other stuff
FX scalper
ummm forgive me for being a bit thick here but to accuse SB companies of making money only because of losers is a little discriminatory. In the past on this thread I have made no bones about the percantage winners and losers on CS. as of the end of last year (when i last did the full analysis) 79% of traders lost and 21% won. This sounds terrible doesn't it.
Until you realise that virtually exactly the same percentages permeate the 'private client' returns on DMA. FX and Futures markets. The CME (or maybe CBOT, cannot remember which) made a huge survey of private client trading on futures markets (not institutional, hedge fund, etc etc) and dicovered that 81% of retail clients lost money (slightly worse than clients on our platform!). Many investment bankers across the globe earn huge wedges, where do you suppose all this money comes from in the final analysis. Spread Betting companies are just more direct in that the client can see who he is trading with. This is virtually unique in the financial world as usually an 'investor' is trading via an exchange so the counterparty is hidden.
as all risk is taken, in the first instance, with the SB company it is not exactly rocket science to show that if the majority of clients won then the SB company would probably lose and therefore go out of business ! In exactly the same way that if the favorites win the races at Cheltenham then the Bookies are likely to go home out of pocket. They try to adjust the prices to reduce their exposures but in the end it is the punters skill against theirs which is the overiding factor. (have you ever been to the races and you look over the bookies pitches to find the best price for your nag of choice).
Our professional FX, Capital Forex, platform (which is widely regarded as one of the best and most liquid FX platforms on the planet) shows rather worse private client performance than our spread betting client ! and that is with incredible liquidity etc etc.
the filling of orders is a particular point with SB. If you place an 'order' with CS you will always be filled if 'our quote' reaches your level BUT on most occasions, in equities for example, when the underlying market spread widens horrendously with no actual trades going through we will ignore the fact that we could technically fill the order and just reset it. if you place a 'trade' with CS and the size you are trading in is above a preset size or you are designated as a 'dealer acceptance' client then the trade will go through to a dealer for confirm. Over major data releases there will be deal rejections but in normal trading environemnets nearly all trades (even if they are slightly against us) will go through.
My problem is that clients only ever remember the ones that go against them and hardly ever the ones that they get in their favour.
ce la vie
Simon