Haven't posted here for a while, but got a couple of emails from members wanting to see more updates in this journal. So, here's a trade from the wee hours of this morning. Chart setup is as described by Mr. Charts' thread on rising candles.
Take a look at the chart and note how strong the initial two 1-minute candles are, with very little in the way of wicks. The slope is also very high, indicating desperation on the part of buyers to pick up the stock. These two factors - a strong initial rise and clean, almost-full candles - suggest that the uptrend is likely to continue.
Further confirmation of trend continuation came from the very minor retracement. I actually went long as soon as it broke, but the stock was thin and I got filled approximately 10 cents higher than my desired entry, but the stock kept moving higher. I was about to close it out as it started ticking back down (5th 1-minute candle), but I could see a buyer on level 2 holding the 50 cent level. So I decided that if the 50-cent level doesn't hold, I'll get out for a small loss. It then continued its ascent higher until it just stopped moving up, sellers got stronger on the offer side, and when they weren't getting filled, moved to hit the bids. I then covered my long.
It's as simple as that. Could have gone higher, but no one knows the future. By relying on the order flow, I won't be able to pick tops and bottoms 100% of the time, but it allows me to consistently rake in profits, which is the goal of trading.
Entry: 13.49
Exit: 14.17
Net profit after commissions: +66 cents per share
Another note to make here is the fact that this stock gapped down on the open. This setup is stronger if the trend is in the same direction as the morning gap, but can also work as in this case. Due to the gap down, I was actively managing it on level 2, knowing full well sellers could appear and starting selling into strength.