TonyIommich
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I just started trading forex using Volman's low vol setting. With three pairs I still don't see too many opportunities during UK/US overlap, but definitely more than just EU. I will move to stock index futures later - now just wanna learn his price action method with forex. The information you posted is very valuable to me.
Glad you were able to get something out of it. Yeah, Bob is definitely all about being selective, but I think as a result the edge is better too. I also imagine that Bob probably takes some of the trades he marks as aggressive, simply because he knows how to manage them and how they play out over time.
Ideally speaking I'd love it if I got 3 clean setups a day on average, but to be realistic you have to understand that volatility comes and goes. If you back test, you'll find some months are horrible, others are great. Some days you can sit on your butt and find zero opportunities, but if you get impatient you'll start doing stupid things - especially when you've had a bad few days.
After reading Volman's second book thoroughly I am now able to see more setup potentials more quickly, and see my mistake much more quickly after I enter a trade which I should not have. Also his low vol setting kind of fits my comfort level: not too slow as 5 min, and not fast as 70 tick which I often missed an entry (at that time I was also less experienced with his price action principles). Still, it's very hard not to over-trade because entries are so scarce.
One of the reasons I find Bob's charts so important is that you see that sometimes there can be a week or even several in a row where the best you can do is break even. As he says in his second book, you have to look at your business on a monthly or even yearly basis. I'm sure that once I get good enough, I'll be able to see more opportunities than I do now. But if you can't quantify your concept and research it properly, there's absolutely zero point trading it. Another one of my favorite quotes from Bob, "there is no point in putting capital on the line unless you're convinced you have an edge".
Testing can be a big pain in the derriere, but I find that without testing, everything else falls apart.
BTW do you use NinjaTrader? If so I think it has a built-in indicator to show past day's OHLC. I think Mack at PATs trading uses the same setting as Bob (also Globex data) but he just trades pullback with no regards to buildup etc. Do you follow his daily youtube videos?
I use Sierra Chart and I haven't gotten into Mack PAT (Sierra also has a past day OHLC as well as intraday high/low). Frankly with Bob's work and Al Brooks, Lance Beggs, and Adam Grimes, it's more than sufficient to put things together for me.
Bob is great with breakouts and pullbacks, Al Brooks has some good reversal and 'buy strength/sell weakness' ideas to add to the picture, while Lance Beggs and Adam Grimes give good overall concepts and roadmaps.
What concerns stock index futures, you can't easily trade an index but you can trade the SPY, plus arbitrageurs regularly put together stock baskets that mimic the S&P 500. Round numbers do have significance, especially big ones, on the cash index, and futures contracts usually trade at a discount to it (since futures don't deliver dividends).