Well, BB trading is looking positive again. The geo-political situation may also be a little more stable than 3 and 4 weeks: Libya probably isn't going to be another Rwanda or Iraq, and ***ushima probably isn't going to be another Chernobyl. But, while I always assume each new rules development will make the system more successful, it would be good to verify this: so how would we be doing with earlier sets of rules?
Over the last 4 weeks, using v5 rules for the last 2 weeks and v4 for the first 2, the system has returned 9 targets hit, 0 expired +ve, 6 stopped out, 0 expired -ve, and 5 no-trades. Giving a positive return of 3 trades.
If we had applied v4 rules throughout (i.e. ignoring the BB range compared with its average), we would be 12-0-8-0-0. Giving a positive return of 4 trades.
Both v4 and v5 have fixed targets and stops, but what if we went back in time and applied the BB range to give target and stop, and ignored the ATR and average BB range? So, if BB was 35.3pts, target would 35.3 ahead of entry and stop 35.3 behind. Results only available for last 3 weeks due to limitations on tick chart displays - 6-0-5-4-0. Not great, definitely making a loss. For a direct comparison, over the last 3 weeks, current rules indicated 5-0-5-0-5, while v4 rules indicated 8-0-7-0-0, both about break-even.
These limited results confirm that v5 rules involve least trades, while v4 and v5 rules take profits earlier, before price can collapse back towards the stop, so encouraging so far, but I will keep monitoring these differet approaches for better confirmation.