Chalky - You should have been able to get the first short at around 8:20 am. We got a nice small 5 min candle at the mid boly band, and a break below this was your entry short. I closed when the ES hit the 1356.75 from 29th Feb. The FTSE actually pulled up just shy of its level at 5822. The next short was a break of this level. I had 1353 on the ES for my next level down, and closed my FTSE short when the ES hit this level. Most of the move was done by now, and you can see from the price action that it wasn't sure what to do next. The ES put in an almost exact Fib extension of 127% (using the low and the high of the last 3 days) before it reached bottom. The FTSE put in an exact 261.8% fib extension (using yesterdays 9am low and 1pm high).
The long uptrend on the daily is busted finally. We should get an up day tomorrow before more down on thursday.
Chalky - it's very difficult to get back in sometimes when it is fluid and jumping around a bit. Especially after a biggish move, the temptation to get in after a long down candle is very strong. Also we have been ranging for so many days, it's hard to change your bias when there really is a breakout and a trend.
Hi Martin
I was short but closed for way too little and couldnt seem to bring myself to get back in
Am currently long 5796 looking for a pop to 5820
Chalky, what are the benefits of trading the Futures over the Cash with IG?
I've started adding small longs on a spreadbet platform, and these are swing trades to keep till tomorrow. I still think the ES will see 1344 and possibly 1342. Will add more small longs if it gets there. I have to believe there will be a bounce tomorrow, but I could be wrong, so don't copy me.
Anyone tempted to catch the falling knife should be pretty safe with a dow hedge if it goes under. ftse about 50 down on where it should be relative to dow from last night's ftse close and it's been holding at that for a bit.