Hi guys, I too have this course and have been going through diff options - I was playing this over in my mind trying to work out best way of reducing risk.
Could you see If I am correct and give me your feedback on the below please? I am a total newb and when I do go live I was lookign at trading 2 contracts as taught - however I am now thinking of just going for 1 contract for 2pts and gradually upping my quantity as time goes by and account grows..See I know the course suggests trading 2 contracts for 2 and 4 pts but read the below:-
If I trade only on 1 contract instead (to begin with) for just the 2 points daily, then each day I am risking $250 loss. However If I trade the 2 contracts to hit 2pts / 4pts then I am effectively risking $500 Loss..
Now, Looking back through the last 2 months, most of the days consisted of hitting the 2pts - then breaking even on the second contract (I would move my stop so lock in my initial 2pts on first contract - so it would be on entry) so you see I would only be taking the same $100 a day regardless. So really If i traded 2 contracts I would be risking $500 to gain $100 most days instead of risking $250 to win $100 for one contract. (This is only if second breaks even)
Example number 2..* Note in my own rules I would go in for second setup only - never a third should second lose also *
First daily setup loses, so on one contract I lose -$250, second is a winner making me $100 back so my daily loss is just -$150.
With using the 2 contracts, I lose first setup, so -$500 loss, then I win second (but only 2pts are hit and second breaks even) I make just $100. Daily loss is -$400
or
same as above except second trade hits both 2 and 4pts, I am now at a loss of -$200 on the day (this is still $50 more than utilising the 1 contract only)
Does this make sense?!? I am trying to minimise my risk to begin with, and gradually build my account up in order to trade over 2 contracts. So with the above calculations it seems using just the one contract at first is less risky (in terms of losing more per day) than using the 2 contracts for both 2 and 4pts?
In my head it makes sense to always up your quantity and just go for the 2pts daily.. your risking less but can still make huge profits on the 2pts as your quantity grows.
Anyone?
Would you not agree?