Interviewer: "Hi Trader, Are you a LOSER?"
"Trader": "No, no! I'm a really great trader. I've made loads of money! I've never lost a single trade!"
Interviewer: "Oh, ok. What was your % return last year?"
"Trader": "Loads! Like 500%!"
Interviewer: (Makes notes)
Asking retail "traders" how much they win lose is pointless as there will always be a massive bias towards success. You need to ask the brokers to find out true stats. Very short term (first day trading), I'm sure 50% of traders "win". One week in, this will fall to 20%. One month will be 10%. One year will be 5% if that. I talk from experience having worked in several retail broking houses.
Why? Because most "traders" have no idea what theyre doing. They almost all do exactly the same thing. Tight profit target, no stop.
Perhaps we need to rephrase the question.
What percentage of clients who have SOME idea what they are doing are losers?
I would hazard a guess at 75%+.
I could well be wrong.