it's not 96%,
it's 99.6%,
and 2 main reasons, either the trader does not have a strategy with an edge, or if they do, they are unable to wield it
.........are you selling something?
Right about the number, but the reasons are more complicated and complex.
I would add as one of the reasons, that the whole FOREX business is built around a Casino Business Model giving false promises like "The Euro Is Easy to trade" or "Make money trading Forex" or just showing how much money their "Top Traders" made in the last 30 days, and thus most traders join impulsed by some kind of "Ludopathy" of similar Attitude...
Of course its not the Trader's fault. I would never blame the Trader. That's the whole slogan to justify this business. "It's the trader's fault"...
A lot of Forex Brokers, have been penalized during the last few years, because they are built over a Casino and Betting Business Model.
So, that's the main reason, why the 99.6% number is almost the same as a Casino and a Sport Betting Sites. I think that in Poker, the edge is even better and you have more chances of winning than in Forex, but someone correct me if this is not true, but I remember reading the number was more favorable.
Also, let me say that Retail Forex traders do think that they're "investing" on a skills based assumption rather than gambling. They think that using MT4, indicators, signals, EA's, even price action, etc, is part of a system that will predict the future. None of that works, because every single indicator lags big time, and thus, it's set for failure. When they are lucky, they could make a good trade, but long term, they finish losing it all. They are gamblers, but most of them don't know about this. And when they lose their account, they are told that it's their fault. The most pathethic part is most of the traders finish believing it, that they lost because of their fault. It's never their fault, because nobody can predict the future in the first place. And no, you can't have tools to increase your Edge. And if you consider having an "edge", then you are in the same situation as a gambler, looking for an "edge" in Blackjack.
The most scary part is when you look who represent the 0.4%... The vast majority of that 0.4% are probably not regular traders, but part of the market makers or people with inside information of Financial Companies...
So, that let's the chances of winning to 0.1%.
But even knowing this, people still open an account, send money to the brokers, and lose their accounts.
And man, I'm not just talking about people who don't have a clue about the business and open an account believing in a get rich quick sheme. Im also talking about people who took Lessons with so called "PROs" (just authors who could never do a dime in FOREX and try to make some bucks selling books), studied the market for years, read dozens of books, etc etc... They still will lose money.
I think that the more you study the FOREX market, the more convinced you will be to stay away off this and go trade something else, like Stocks or Futures, and trade stocks or futures you know well, and just to diversify your portfolio.
In forums, you will find a lot of people defending the business, but check who they are? Almost none of them make a living Trading Live Forex. They live and make some money with everything surrounding the Forex Business, be it selling forex stuff, pdf, books, skype lessons, mt4 programming, are PAID Posters or employees of the Forex Brokers or just are webmaster affiliates of Forex Brokers.
Try to find a Forex Trader that did a living of trading online forex for the past 3 years... maybe 1 in 10,000 if you are lucky.